🐻⬇️🏀

Cal St. East Bay

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Cal St. East Bay
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1207 (#4) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1350 (#3) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1280 (#1) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +17.4 (#29) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +14.2 (#108) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.683 (#230) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +47.9 More → 0.995 (#72) NetEff +47.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.7 More → 0.829 (#212) AdjNet +13.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.0 More → 0.836 (#211) AdjNet +14.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.4 | AdjD 68.2 More → 0.717 (#220) AdjO 78.4 | AdjD 68.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 79.0 | AdjD 65.0 More → 0.782 (#26) AdjO 79.0 | AdjD 65.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.854 (#33) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.860 (#23) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 114 | GP 22 More → 1446 (#1) RD 114 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Fresno Pacific W 75 - 71
2025-11-15 vs Jessup W 78 - 75
2025-11-22 vs Menlo W 78 - 65
2025-11-25 vs Saint Martin's W 73 - 58
2025-11-29 @ CUI W 68 - 58
2025-12-04 @ San Fran. St. W 60 - 46
2025-12-06 vs San Fran. St. W 86 - 46
2025-12-13 vs Seattle Pacific W 57 - 54
2025-12-19 @ Cal St. Dom. Hills W 89 - 82
2025-12-21 @ Cal State LA W 77 - 69
2026-01-02 vs CSUSB W 78 - 64
2026-01-04 vs Cal Poly Pomona W 70 - 59
2026-01-08 vs Chico St. W 73 - 71
2026-01-10 vs Cal Poly Humboldt W 95 - 53
2026-01-15 @ UC Merced W 75 - 62
2026-01-17 @ Stanislaus St. W 71 - 57
2026-01-22 vs Cal St. San Marcos W 87 - 70
2026-01-24 vs Cal St. Monterey Bay W 92 - 71
2026-01-29 @ Cal Poly Pomona W 79 - 46
2026-01-31 @ CSUSB W 82 - 79
2026-02-05 vs Cal State LA W 102 - 79
2026-02-07 vs Cal St. Dom. Hills W 79 - 57

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Xavier Clinton - 1 38.0 21.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 13.0 12.0 35 1.7 9.0 53.8 55.6 100.0 2.12 75.6 73.1
Cortevious Taylor - 1 31.1 20.0 7.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 14.0 14.0 51 2.5 15.9 28.6 42.9 60.0 2.09 48.5 39.3
Zion Paleo - 1 24.5 19.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 15.0 18 0.8 5.1 62.5 33.3 72.7 -1.01 74.0 68.8
Aidan Fowler - 1 35.9 18.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 10.0 15 0.7 2.8 50.0 40.0 100.0 0.33 65.4 58.3
Chris Holley - 1 40.0 15.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 13.0 6.0 -11 -0.6 -2.2 53.8 0.0 50.0 1.41 54.0 53.8
Tyree Campbell - 19 26.8 14.8 3.8 1.3 1.6 0.2 1.8 9.7 10.1 117 5.6 26.6 55.1 53.9 56.2 0.2 65.9 66.2
Grant Coleman - 1 30.2 12.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 8.0 70 2.9 12.4 66.7 80.0 0 0.84 100.0 100.0
Julian Mora - 1 34.1 12.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 12.0 6.0 41 2.0 7.7 33.3 25.0 100.0 1.29 46.6 41.7
Jaayden Bush - 19 23.1 11.0 2.8 2.6 2.0 0.3 1.7 7.7 9.3 44 2.1 12.4 52.1 44.8 54.3 1.86 57.5 56.5
Isaiah Brewington - 1 26.3 11.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 6.0 13.0 -25 -1.2 -8.9 50.0 0 83.3 -2.24 63.7 50.0
Ramsey Huff - 19 24.1 10.7 3.1 1.9 0.7 0.3 1.2 7.8 7.8 82 3.9 20.0 46.3 36.0 81.0 3.17 60.9 57.0
Trace Evans - 1 25.8 9.0 6.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 12.0 7.0 48 2.3 9.9 33.3 0.0 50.0 -0.59 34.9 33.3
Amare Campbell - 19 19.6 8.2 3.3 3.0 1.6 0.2 1.2 5.9 9.2 95 4.5 29.3 43.8 29.0 68.6 1.02 54.3 47.8
Gavin Davis - 1 20.9 8.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 9.0 5.0 -55 -2.5 -14.7 33.3 0.0 100.0 2.49 40.5 33.3
Theo McMillan - 1 33.8 8.0 6.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 6.0 8.0 96 4.8 15.5 50.0 0 50.0 -0.44 51.5 50.0
Jalen Foy - 19 23.7 7.7 4.8 2.0 0.9 0.2 1.6 6.1 7.9 26 3.7 6.4 39.7 36.4 81.6 0.18 55.4 50.0
Max Walters - 1 19.3 7.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 4.0 7 0.3 1.5 50.0 25.0 0 2.02 58.3 58.3
Terence Haywood - 19 15.0 6.6 3.8 1.5 0.4 0.2 1.4 5.0 6.1 27 1.3 11.9 56.8 36.4 53.8 1.16 59.2 58.9
Robel Zemmo - 1 26.7 6.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 3.0 -62 -4.1 -19.7 40.0 0.0 100.0 -3.47 51.0 40.0
Braddock Kjellesvig - 1 13.7 5.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 6.0 14 0.7 5.4 40.0 0 33.3 -2.2 39.6 40.0
Henry Sandberg - 1 24.2 5.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 5.0 8 0.6 4.3 50.0 100.0 0 -1.94 62.5 62.5
Aengus Sutherland - 1 10.5 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 27 1.6 16.6 50.0 100.0 100.0 1.53 86.8 75.0
Chase Page - 19 13.0 4.5 2.4 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.6 4.4 3.6 - - - 42.2 7.7 48.4 - 44.5 42.8
Takai Emerson-Hardy - 19 13.0 4.5 2.4 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.6 4.4 3.6 -19 -0.9 -8.5 42.2 7.7 48.4 -0.88 44.5 42.8
Payden White - 18 11.4 4.3 2.0 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.6 3.8 3.5 54 2.7 27.2 37.7 36.6 57.9 -1.16 50.4 48.6
Malachi Murrell - 1 24.1 4.0 10.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 10.0 3.0 -36 -1.9 -12.8 20.0 0 0 -1.22 20.0 20.0
Josh Ijeh - 19 17.4 3.6 4.9 0.4 0.5 1.3 0.7 2.8 7.3 26 1.2 10.1 57.4 0 46.2 2.94 56.9 57.4
Amon Andrews - 1 12.2 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 31 1.8 118.3 33.3 33.3 0.0 0.08 43.6 50.0
Elijah Edwards - 1 9.7 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 -3 -0.2 -1.4 100.0 100.0 0 -1.54 150.0 150.0
Connor Drinkwine - 1 14.7 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 5 0.2 1.1 50.0 50.0 0 -0.41 75.0 75.0
Matt Williams - 19 7.7 2.5 1.7 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.4 2.4 2.6 52 2.5 32.3 34.8 32.0 61.5 -0.02 46.4 43.5
Jordan Espinoza - 17 8.5 2.2 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.9 26 1.4 21.5 42.3 22.2 72.2 -0.67 54.5 46.2
Andrew Camacho - 16 4.9 2.2 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.2 2.2 1.5 -43 -2.7 -67.2 27.8 19.2 78.6 -1.57 42.7 34.7
Jeremiah Dargan - 1 14.6 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 -3.0 23 1.8 13.1 20.0 0.0 0 -0.66 20.0 20.0
Donovan Desha - 1 10.3 2.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 -17 -1.7 -289.4 100.0 0 0 -0.64 100.0 100.0
Amound Anderson II - 1 9.3 2.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 -7 -0.3 -2.7 100.0 0 0.0 -0.61 53.2 100.0
Kaylon Mason - 1 14.3 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 25 1.8 11.9 25.0 0.0 0 0.15 25.0 25.0
Pablo Soumare - 1 18.9 2.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 -16 -0.8 -5.5 0.0 0 50.0 -1.52 36.2 0.0
Ipreye Egbe - 10 3.2 1.8 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 1.8 0.7 5 0.6 15.5 44.4 16.7 50.0 0.4 47.7 47.2
Matt Villanueva - 6 2.6 1.8 1.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.5 1.7 2 0.4 12.8 44.4 33.3 50.0 -0.01 51.1 50.0
Michael Padilla - 5 1.8 0.6 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.0 -5 -1.2 -34.8 33.3 0 50.0 -0.57 38.7 33.3
David Filipovas - 10 3.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.6 7 0.8 27.0 25.0 33.3 0 0.65 31.2 31.2
Jacob Gilchrist - 1 5.8 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 13 1.6 72.1 0 0 0 -0.06 0 0
Maxwell McCall - 7 6.7 0.0 0.9 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 2.3 -3 -0.4 -10.7 0.0 0 0.0 -1.13 0.0 0.0
Court Franklin - 1 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 37 1.8 51.4 0 0 0 0.27 0 0
Brant Heppner - 1 10.9 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -1.0 6 0.3 2.6 0.0 0 0 0.29 0.0 0.0
Logan Kinloch - 1 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 6 0.8 10.4 0.0 0.0 0 1.53 0.0 0.0
Nikias Schoenerstedt - 1 11.4 0.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 2 0.2 6.1 0.0 0.0 0 0.73 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG