🐻⬇️🏀

Cal Poly

Season: 2026
Also known as: Cal Poly
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1052 (#187) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1119 (#126) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1037 (#227) HCA +62 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +41.2 (#43) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 1.000 (#41) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +56.8 More → 1.000 (#31) NetEff +56.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +74.0 More → 1.000 (#9) AdjNet +74.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +73.5 More → 1.000 (#9) AdjNet +73.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 34.6 More → 0.975 (#38) AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 34.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 48.8 More → 0.800 (#61) AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 48.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.979 (#9) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.968 (#9) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 2 More → 1171 (#91) RD 350 | GP 2

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs UC Santa Cruz - Incomplete score
2025-11-24 vs Chapman - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.