Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1069 (#149) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1158 (#75) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 931 (#634) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -10.9 (#541) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.897 (#240) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.006 (#786) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.830 (#221) | AdjNet +13.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.002 (#793) | AdjNet -51.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.828 (#222) | AdjNet +13.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.002 (#793) | AdjNet -52.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.735 (#206) | AdjO 84.3 | AdjD 73.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.028 (#792) | AdjO 61.4 | AdjD 100.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.435 (#532) | AdjO 75.9 | AdjD 78.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.365 (#525) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.356 (#542) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 948 (#434) | RD 129 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | vs | VTSU-Johnson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-05 | vs | Pacific Lutheran | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | UW-River Falls | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-09 | @ | Marian (WI) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-11 | @ | McDaniel | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Saint John's (MN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Augsburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-20 | @ | Valley Forge | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Cornell College | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Redlands | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Gustavus Adolphus | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | JWU (Providence) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Neb. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Buena Vista | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Dubuque | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Northwestern-St. Paul | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | Juniata | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-29 | vs | Occidental | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Stevenson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Bridgewater St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Loras | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Luther | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Simpson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Wartburg | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Reece | - | 1 | 18.3 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 14.0 | 76 | 4.5 | 40.7 | 66.7 | 0 | 100.0 | 2.84 | 68.3 | 66.7 |
| Kyle Cason | - | 16 | 22.3 | 13.2 | 4.6 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 10.6 | 8.6 | -24 | -1.2 | -6.4 | 45.9 | 26.5 | 82.4 | 0.0 | 54.8 | 49.7 |
| William Lawder | - | 1 | 19.4 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | -3 | -0.2 | -1.2 | 83.3 | 0 | 75.0 | 1.43 | 83.8 | 83.3 |
| Owen Schipper | - | 16 | 33.1 | 10.9 | 8.1 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 9.4 | 12.4 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.6 | 41.7 | 31.0 | 75.9 | 2.09 | 53.1 | 50.3 |
| Deven Dowdie | - | 1 | 17.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 15 | 0.8 | 9.6 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 66.7 | -0.41 | 57.9 | 50.0 |
| Braylon Thomsen | - | 16 | 17.8 | 9.6 | 3.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 7.3 | 5.7 | -50 | -2.5 | -17.3 | 45.3 | 44.3 | 60.7 | -2.14 | 59.5 | 58.5 |
| Grant Uecker | - | 16 | 25.6 | 9.6 | 3.8 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 9.1 | 5.7 | 10 | 0.7 | 7.0 | 37.9 | 38.7 | 71.4 | 0.08 | 49.9 | 47.9 |
| Jason Brice | - | 1 | 18.7 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | -47 | -2.8 | -44.4 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 85.7 | -4.04 | 63.6 | 37.5 |
| Michael Broady | - | 1 | 14.9 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | -68 | -5.2 | -210.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -3.98 | 65.4 | 66.7 |
| Dahsan King | - | 1 | 21.9 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 69 | 3.1 | 17.8 | 40.0 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.29 | 45.0 | 45.0 |
| Sahih Smith | - | 3 | 26.3 | 8.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 10.0 | -1.3 | - | - | - | 26.7 | 0.0 | 55.6 | -1.81 | 34.3 | 26.7 |
| Anthony Gott | - | 15 | 18.9 | 8.4 | 5.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 6.1 | 8.9 | -35 | -1.8 | -13.6 | 56.5 | 0 | 68.8 | 0.18 | 59.4 | 56.5 |
| Christian Metivia | - | 1 | 14.5 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Alex Ruba | - | 16 | 19.4 | 7.0 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 5.7 | 6.7 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.5 | 47.3 | 37.5 | 77.8 | -0.03 | 56.6 | 53.8 |
| Kaleem Moultrie | - | 2 | 14.1 | 7.0 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 6.5 | - | - | - | 58.3 | 0 | 0.0 | -3.97 | 46.4 | 58.3 |
| Mike Gaines | - | 1 | 21.7 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 119 | 10.8 | 723.0 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 2.04 | 64.3 | 70.0 |
| Dominik McKenney-George | - | 1 | 22.3 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | -56 | -4.0 | -36.8 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.89 | 73.5 | 66.7 |
| Carson Jones | - | 16 | 24.7 | 6.1 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 5.1 | 3.9 | -7 | -0.4 | -1.7 | 40.2 | 27.3 | 76.0 | -0.68 | 52.2 | 47.6 |
| Brad Curren | - | 16 | 22.2 | 5.6 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 4.9 | 4.0 | -21 | -1.1 | -5.5 | 39.7 | 37.7 | 53.3 | 2.02 | 53.2 | 52.6 |
| Kaeden Campbell | - | 3 | 28.2 | 5.3 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 8.3 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 16.0 | 10.0 | 87.5 | -1.81 | 28.1 | 18.0 |
| Garland Amaker | - | 1 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.44 | 86.8 | 100.0 |
| Darius Wallace | - | 3 | 17.6 | 4.3 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 3.3 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0 | 45.5 | 3.64 | 43.8 | 40.0 |
| Khalil Dukes | - | 3 | 22.5 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 4.3 | 5.3 | -0.7 | - | - | - | 31.2 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 1.35 | 33.8 | 34.4 |
| Bersy Moundzieho | - | 1 | 30.3 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 0 | 0 | -2.7 | 28.6 | 28.6 |
| Jahiere Walker | - | 3 | 15.6 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 28 | 2.0 | 7.6 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 3.64 | 52.1 | 50.0 |
| Amard Pagan | - | 3 | 17.8 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 2.0 | -0.3 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 41.0 | 33.3 |
| Anthony McClinton | - | 3 | 18.5 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 3.3 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 33.3 | 16.7 | - | 23.7 | 25.0 |
| Camar Gregorio | - | 1 | 9.6 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -9 | -1.0 | -74.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.99 | 34.7 | 50.0 |
| Denzel Pierre | - | 1 | 16.7 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | -19 | -1.1 | -9.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.94 | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Kip Tupa | - | 10 | 7.7 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1.4 | - | - | - | 41.7 | 40.0 | 60.0 | 0.35 | 59.9 | 58.3 |
| Boaz Clark | - | 12 | 7.0 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 10 | 0.8 | 12.1 | 35.3 | 18.2 | 75.0 | 1.94 | 45.3 | 41.2 |
| Sage Suntken | - | 10 | 6.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.3 | 7.8 | 28.6 | 23.1 | 50.0 | -0.69 | 41.2 | 39.3 |
| Ross Kusel | - | 6 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 14.3 | 0 | - | 38.9 | 38.9 |
| Evan Hatcher | - | 4 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | - | 69.4 | 75.0 |
| Riley Young | - | 2 | 16.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 4.0 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 12.5 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.01 | 12.5 | 12.5 |
| Jaden Cesar | - | 1 | 5.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | -47 | -3.4 | -87.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -5.14 | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Brandon Edwards | - | 1 | 7.6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -12 | -1.7 | -56.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -2.3 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Alier Agau | - | 8 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 0.8 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 0 | 0 | - | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Fulton Flesher | - | 3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Derek Thissen | - | 6 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Patrick Weyrauch | - | 3 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | -0.3 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ace Branham | - | 1 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -3.0 | -68 | -6.2 | -189.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -6.39 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Charlie Giordano | - | 1 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -24 | -3.4 | -144.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Aiden Littleton | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | -58 | -5.8 | -39.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -3.14 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG