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Cal Poly

Also known as: Cal Poly Mustangs
Program History

Model Outputs

2000-2001
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 753 (#270) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 795 (#276) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +117 elo More โ†’ 873 (#294) HCA +117 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.9 More โ†’ -8.0 (#243) HCA +3.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ -8.1 (#244) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.267 (#249) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -10.8 More โ†’ 0.224 (#238) AdjNet -10.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -10.9 More โ†’ 0.222 (#238) AdjNet -10.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.2 | AdjD 82.1 More โ†’ 0.329 (#250) AdjO 74.2 | AdjD 82.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 78.8 More โ†’ 0.348 (#268) AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 78.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.270 (#263) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.273 (#266) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 141 | GP 21 More โ†’ 770 (#282) RD 141 | GP 21

2001 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2000-12-02 vs Northern Arizona W 99 - 97
2000-12-09 @ San Francisco L 68 - 71
2000-12-14 vs Eastern Washington W 87 - 81
2000-12-30 @ NC State L 63 - 91
2001-01-04 vs Utah State L 69 - 82
2001-01-06 vs Boise State L 79 - 83
2001-01-18 @ Pacific L 76 - 86
2001-01-20 @ Long Beach State L 75 - 89
2001-01-25 vs Cal State Fullerton L 77 - 85
2001-01-27 vs UC Irvine L 63 - 75
2001-01-31 vs Pacific L 60 - 69
2001-02-03 @ Idaho W 82 - 79
2001-02-08 vs Long Beach State W 103 - 88
2001-02-10 @ UC Santa Barbara L 88 - 95
2001-02-15 @ Cal State Fullerton W 62 - 60
2001-02-17 @ UC Irvine L 89 - 93
2001-02-22 vs UC Santa Barbara L 77 - 84
2001-02-24 vs Idaho L 75 - 82
2001-03-01 @ Boise State L 69 - 84
2001-03-03 @ Utah State L 55 - 82
2001-03-08 N UC Irvine L 66 - 71

2001 Roster

No roster data available for this season.