Cal Poly
Model Outputs
1996-1997
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 899 (#200) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 883 (#221) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 939 (#218) | HCA +127 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +0.0 (#153) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -0.6 (#161) | HCA +3.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.542 (#138) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.516 (#147) | AdjNet +0.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.517 (#147) | AdjNet +0.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.490 (#158) | AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 77.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.491 (#158) | AdjO 76.8 | AdjD 77.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.451 (#174) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.452 (#175) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 882 (#216) | RD 147 | GP 27 |
1997 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1996-11-26 | vs | Loyola Marymount | W | 87 - 70 |
| 1996-11-29 | N | Liberty | L | 65 - 67 |
| 1996-11-30 | N | Northeastern | W | 89 - 73 |
| 1996-12-07 | vs | Air Force | W | 74 - 62 |
| 1996-12-14 | @ | Hawaii | L | 84 - 86 |
| 1996-12-15 | N | UAB | L | 81 - 93 |
| 1996-12-22 | @ | George Mason | L | 86 - 107 |
| 1996-12-28 | N | La Salle | W | 78 - 71 |
| 1996-12-29 | @ | California | L | 59 - 77 |
| 1997-01-04 | vs | Portland | L | 72 - 81 |
| 1997-01-09 | vs | New Mexico State | W | 101 - 86 |
| 1997-01-11 | vs | UC Santa Barbara | W | 60 - 51 |
| 1997-01-16 | vs | UC Irvine | W | 79 - 62 |
| 1997-01-18 | vs | Cal State Fullerton | L | 77 - 82 |
| 1997-01-23 | @ | Pacific | L | 64 - 68 |
| 1997-01-25 | @ | Long Beach State | L | 80 - 89 |
| 1997-01-30 | @ | Utah State | L | 74 - 85 |
| 1997-02-01 | @ | Nevada | L | 88 - 95 |
| 1997-02-06 | vs | Boise State | L | 66 - 73 |
| 1997-02-08 | vs | Idaho | W | 72 - 51 |
| 1997-02-13 | vs | Long Beach State | L | 67 - 68 |
| 1997-02-15 | vs | Pacific | W | 93 - 92 |
| 1997-02-18 | vs | Idaho State | W | 99 - 64 |
| 1997-02-20 | @ | North Texas | L | 72 - 73 |
| 1997-02-22 | @ | UC Santa Barbara | L | 88 - 92 |
| 1997-02-27 | @ | Cal State Fullerton | L | 98 - 110 |
| 1997-03-01 | @ | UC Irvine | W | 84 - 78 |
1997 Roster
No roster data available for this season.