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Cal Poly Pomona

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Cal Poly Pomona
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1306 (#8) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1297 (#12) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1134 (#47) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +22.5 (#13) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +2.0 (#330) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.894 (#186) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +21.6 More → 0.957 (#101) NetEff +21.6
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -35.3 More → 0.008 (#454) NetEff -35.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +23.4 More → 0.937 (#169) AdjNet +23.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +23.4 More → 0.941 (#170) AdjNet +23.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 56.8 More → 0.788 (#179) AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 56.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.1 | AdjD 57.5 More → 0.602 (#169) AdjO 62.1 | AdjD 57.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.648 (#233) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.658 (#222) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 84 | GP 39 More → 1187 (#53) RD 84 | GP 39

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ UC Santa Barbara L 44 - 80
2025-11-07 @ Pomona-Pitzer W 88 - 58
2025-11-14 @ Menlo W 60 - 54
2025-11-14 vs Point Loma W 71 - 62
2025-11-15 vs Jessup W 53 - 40
2025-11-15 @ Azusa Pacific L 53 - 54
2025-11-22 vs Southern Ore. W 63 - 49
2025-11-25 @ Dominican (CA) L 47 - 65
2025-11-25 vs Biola W 66 - 57
2025-11-29 @ CUI W 61 - 59
2025-11-30 @ San Francisco L 52 - 92
2025-12-03 @ Cal St. San Marcos L 52 - 61
2025-12-04 vs Cal State LA W 68 - 49
2025-12-06 vs Cal St. San Marcos W 63 - 52
2025-12-06 vs Cal St. Dom. Hills W 59 - 37
2025-12-09 vs Cal Maritime W 85 - 32
2025-12-11 @ San Jose St. L 40 - 83
2025-12-13 vs Central Wash. W 70 - 67
2025-12-19 @ UC Merced W 53 - 40
2025-12-19 vs Chico St. L 52 - 61
2025-12-21 @ Stanislaus St. W 75 - 37
2025-12-21 vs Cal Poly Humboldt L 49 - 62
2026-01-02 @ Stanislaus St. W 78 - 72
2026-01-02 @ San Fran. St. W 76 - 61
2026-01-04 @ UC Merced W 61 - 48
2026-01-10 @ CSUSB W 64 - 56
2026-01-10 vs Cal St. San Marcos W 81 - 47
2026-01-15 vs CSUSB W 68 - 52
2026-01-15 vs Cal St. Dom. Hills W 69 - 49
2026-01-17 @ CSUSB W 65 - 55
2026-01-17 vs Cal State LA L 64 - 82
2026-01-22 @ Cal Poly Humboldt L 56 - 57
2026-01-24 @ Chico St. W 62 - 59
2026-01-29 vs Cal St. East Bay W 82 - 67
2026-01-31 vs San Fran. St. W 76 - 57
2026-02-05 @ Cal St. San Marcos W 77 - 56
2026-02-07 @ Cal St. Monterey Bay W 72 - 64

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Sydney Nelson - 18 29.1 18.8 4.8 1.1 2.1 0.7 2.5 14.3 10.6 93 5.2 19.8 51.9 50.0 68.3 -0.58 55.9 52.1
Jennifer Moreno Ortiz - 15 27.4 11.5 4.7 1.7 1.6 0.1 2.5 9.4 7.7 -36 -1.8 -6.5 44.0 44.1 72.0 -2.37 56.6 54.6
Jeanette Fine - 9 19.1 10.1 3.1 1.3 2.2 0.4 3.8 9.3 4.1 12 1.5 12.3 44.0 34.8 56.2 -1.04 50.0 48.8
Leah Sarabia - 13 25.5 9.1 4.8 1.5 1.5 0.4 3.9 9.1 4.3 -46 -2.7 -10.0 39.0 34.2 61.9 -1.56 46.4 44.5
Andrea Stajic - 20 33.5 8.7 4.2 1.6 1.5 0.4 1.9 9.2 5.3 267 12.7 53.4 37.7 25.8 70.6 3.0 45.7 44.3
Riley Walls - 16 27.4 8.3 5.1 1.1 1.4 0.2 2.2 7.2 6.7 -3 -0.2 -0.9 44.3 28.6 60.5 -1.15 50.5 47.8
Brielle Minor - 21 30.5 7.9 4.0 4.5 1.1 0.1 3.1 6.2 8.3 229 10.4 54.0 34.4 35.2 65.9 3.17 49.0 41.6
Mydrea Moore - 21 23.8 6.5 6.3 1.0 0.8 1.5 2.1 6.8 7.3 195 8.9 52.6 37.8 0.0 74.4 1.0 42.8 37.8
Kadence Lloyd - 21 18.6 6.3 2.2 0.9 0.5 0.0 1.4 4.8 3.8 88 4.0 36.8 37.0 34.1 77.6 -2.81 53.0 44.0
Hunter Hudson - 21 18.8 6.3 7.2 0.6 1.2 0.4 1.1 5.5 9.1 162 7.4 51.5 47.4 0.0 69.7 2.45 51.0 47.4
Malaysia Lucero - 16 18.0 6.2 3.6 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.8 6.7 4.1 10 0.5 2.8 34.6 0 78.1 0.46 40.9 34.6
A'ajah Slocum - 16 32.5 5.6 5.4 3.3 2.2 0.2 3.6 6.4 6.9 9 0.5 1.4 31.4 15.4 75.0 2.14 38.8 32.4
Madison Eade - 21 12.9 5.3 2.0 0.4 0.5 0.3 1.0 4.4 3.2 63 3.1 48.3 48.9 10.0 77.8 -1.38 53.9 49.5
Aliyah Young - 16 17.0 5.1 1.1 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.4 5.9 1.0 -17 -0.8 -7.6 28.7 29.7 80.0 0.88 41.2 38.8
Jayden McNeal - 11 14.1 4.7 2.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 4.7 1.6 9 0.8 8.8 38.5 0.0 57.1 1.64 42.5 38.5
Alexis Woodson - 21 14.4 4.4 4.0 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.7 3.9 5.1 84 3.8 35.5 46.3 20.0 68.2 0.82 50.2 47.0
Cheyanne Whitfield - 8 12.1 3.9 3.1 0.6 1.4 0.1 1.4 5.1 2.6 -14 -1.4 -5.3 24.4 0.0 61.1 2.14 31.7 24.4
Janelle Pena - 15 12.7 3.7 2.0 0.4 0.3 0.1 1.1 3.5 1.8 -72 -3.6 -29.5 44.2 0.0 56.2 -2.28 46.6 44.2
Ledjan Pahukoa - 13 8.1 2.6 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.8 2.1 0.9 -25 -1.5 -19.5 44.4 43.5 0 2.55 63.0 63.0
Brianna Bouton - 14 12.3 1.9 1.4 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.6 2.4 1.8 -29 -1.8 -17.6 32.4 18.8 33.3 1.11 36.8 36.8
Demi Thompson Lopez - 15 7.2 1.8 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.8 1.2 -22 -1.3 -24.4 29.6 22.2 90.0 0.04 43.0 33.3
Jolleen Olia - 14 7.9 1.8 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.4 2.1 0.5 35 2.5 23.8 30.0 10.0 85.7 -0.88 37.8 31.7
Khamiyah Anderson - 20 6.7 1.3 2.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 1.9 1.8 9 0.5 17.5 28.9 0.0 40.0 -2.18 30.7 28.9
Keke Scott - 14 6.1 1.1 1.4 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.5 -9 -0.6 -242.7 33.3 0.0 75.0 -1.43 43.2 33.3
Jolie Johnson - 10 6.3 0.9 1.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.3 0.5 -32 -3.2 -182.9 30.8 0 25.0 0.58 30.5 30.8
Sasha Capers - 12 6.1 0.4 1.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.7 -9 -0.8 -13.3 33.3 0.0 25.0 3.31 32.2 33.3

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG