Cal Poly Pomona
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 997 (#188) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1048 (#172) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 983 (#387) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +6.7 (#144) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -3.0 (#372) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.480 (#350) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.974 (#133) | NetEff +26.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.593 (#365) | AdjNet +3.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.643 (#341) | AdjNet +5.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.590 (#336) | AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 67.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.467 (#368) | AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 71.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.464 (#343) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.461 (#342) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1016 (#212) | RD 98 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Azusa Pacific | W | 77 - 75 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | CUI | W | 75 - 73 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | UCCS | L | 84 - 85 |
| 2025-11-23 | @ | Hawaii Hilo | W | 74 - 54 |
| 2025-11-26 | vs | La Sierra | W | 65 - 58 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Biola | W | 80 - 72 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Cal State LA | W | 61 - 57 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Cal St. Dom. Hills | L | 43 - 52 |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | UC Merced | W | 79 - 65 |
| 2025-12-21 | @ | Stanislaus St. | W | 93 - 88 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | San Fran. St. | L | 73 - 74 |
| 2026-01-04 | @ | Cal St. East Bay | L | 59 - 70 |
| 2026-01-08 | vs | Cal St. Monterey Bay | L | 75 - 79 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Cal St. San Marcos | L | 60 - 79 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | CSUSB | L | 55 - 70 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | CSUSB | W | 68 - 60 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Cal Poly Humboldt | L | 81 - 85 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Chico St. | W | 78 - 66 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Cal St. East Bay | L | 46 - 79 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | San Fran. St. | W | 80 - 62 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Cal St. San Marcos | W | 74 - 69 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Cal St. Monterey Bay | L | 80 - 97 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Bell | - | 21 | 31.8 | 15.4 | 6.9 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 2.9 | 10.3 | 13.4 | 31 | 1.5 | 5.1 | 52.3 | 37.5 | 68.5 | 2.97 | 61.0 | 57.2 |
| Demarreya Lewis-Cooper | - | 19 | 32.0 | 12.1 | 2.9 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 10.3 | 7.2 | 89 | 4.5 | 13.7 | 44.9 | 38.7 | 64.1 | 3.08 | 54.0 | 52.3 |
| Zach Broadous | - | 18 | 26.6 | 9.3 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 6.8 | 6.8 | -29 | -1.6 | -6.2 | 48.4 | 36.5 | 69.8 | -2.93 | 59.3 | 56.1 |
| Kevin Simeth | - | 22 | 26.8 | 9.3 | 7.5 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 5.8 | 12.3 | 54 | 2.5 | 10.0 | 71.9 | 0.0 | 45.7 | 1.21 | 69.1 | 71.9 |
| Shyheim Parm | - | 11 | 26.5 | 6.8 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 6.5 | 6.5 | -62 | -5.6 | -49.6 | 37.5 | 15.0 | 62.1 | -1.18 | 44.2 | 39.6 |
| Michael Saba | - | 15 | 17.9 | 6.8 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 6.3 | 4.1 | -12 | -0.8 | -4.6 | 41.5 | 35.3 | 54.5 | 0.13 | 49.2 | 47.9 |
| Jake Goldberg | - | 21 | 19.2 | 6.7 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 5.7 | 2.0 | 28 | 1.3 | 6.9 | 37.5 | 32.9 | 81.5 | -0.37 | 53.1 | 49.2 |
| Edric Dennis | - | 22 | 16.8 | 5.1 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 4.3 | 16 | 0.7 | 5.9 | 36.8 | 32.3 | 71.8 | 0.25 | 53.8 | 48.3 |
| Asher Schroeder | - | 22 | 18.3 | 4.3 | 3.4 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 3.2 | 4.7 | 52 | 2.4 | 12.8 | 42.3 | 21.1 | 72.1 | 1.03 | 52.8 | 45.1 |
| Sam Hunter | - | 20 | 11.0 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 4.0 | 1.4 | -30 | -1.6 | -18.3 | 35.4 | 38.6 | 66.7 | -1.27 | 48.5 | 46.2 |
| Anthony Orji | - | 6 | 6.2 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 2.0 | -1.0 | 9 | 1.5 | 50.1 | 25.0 | 20.0 | 0 | 0.78 | 29.2 | 29.2 |
| Ryan Hajjar | - | 12 | 5.8 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 14 | 1.3 | 23.6 | 41.7 | 20.0 | 50.0 | 0.21 | 46.6 | 45.8 |
| Martin Gumwel | - | 10 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.9 | -14 | -1.4 | -26.9 | 37.5 | 0 | 33.3 | -1.01 | 37.6 | 37.5 |
| Lawrence Sanford | - | 2 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG