Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 848 (#503) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 957 (#473) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -32.1 (#580) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.033 (#573) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.070 (#652) | AdjNet -22.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.066 (#652) | AdjNet -22.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.182 (#639) | AdjO 70.4 | AdjD 87.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.262 (#556) | AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 80.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.102 (#581) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.123 (#580) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 825 (#440) | RD 331 | GP 3 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-03 | @ | Alas. Anchorage | L | 69 - 86 |
| 2023-11-04 | @ | Alas. Anchorage | L | 53 - 88 |
| 2023-11-18 | @ | Cal Poly Humboldt | L | 70 - 80 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyson Gilbert | - | 2 | 24.5 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 10.0 | 14.5 | 3 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.74 | 79.7 | 77.5 |
| Dillon Barrientos | - | 2 | 26.5 | 11.5 | 4.5 | 6.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 9.5 | 13.0 | -3 | -0.3 | -0.6 | 36.8 | 30.8 | 62.5 | -0.38 | 51.1 | 47.4 |
| Sawyer Storms | - | 2 | 23.5 | 10.5 | 8.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 5.5 | 15.5 | 18 | 2.2 | 4.6 | 63.6 | 75.0 | 57.1 | 1.07 | 74.6 | 77.3 |
| Dathan Satchell | - | 2 | 20.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 8.5 | 11.0 | 37 | 4.6 | 9.1 | 35.3 | 28.6 | 100.0 | 1.9 | 50.3 | 47.1 |
| Bishop Tosi | - | 2 | 22.5 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 5.5 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 54.5 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 60.9 | 54.5 |
| Jaron Williams | - | 2 | 11.5 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 4.5 | -10 | -1.2 | -2.4 | 41.7 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.97 | 50.9 | 41.7 |
| Lyman Simmons | - | 2 | 11.5 | 6.0 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 7.5 | -5 | -5.0 | -37.2 | 71.4 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.94 | 76.1 | 71.4 |
| Hasaan Herrington | - | 2 | 14.0 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 29 | 1.4 | 16.1 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.23 | 50.6 | 50.0 |
| Caleb Larsen | - | 2 | 12.5 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | -15 | -1.9 | -10.9 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0.19 | 72.7 | 75.0 |
| Trey Evans | - | 2 | 12.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5 | 0.8 | 5.5 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 83.3 | 0.11 | 75.4 | 50.0 |
| Luke Devine | - | 2 | 10.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 2.0 | 6.8 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | -0.52 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Sloan Lentfer | - | 2 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 43 | 4.8 | 15.4 | 33.3 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.52 | 38.7 | 33.3 |
| Jack Chlumak | - | 2 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -1.5 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG