Cairn University Highlanders
Model Outputs
2021-2022
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 860 (#715) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 816 (#749) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 996 (#324) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -16.6 (#736) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -16.1 (#538) | HCA +2.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.469 (#381) | AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 69.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.146 (#584) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.194 (#580) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 928 (#337) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-09 | @ | Delaware State Hornets | L | 41 - 80 |
2022 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W. Murray
|
F | 1 | 24.0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 38.5 | 16.7 | 0 | - | 42.3 | 42.3 |
K. Clark
|
F | 1 | 23.0 | 9.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 56 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 42.9 | 0 | 60.0 | 0.54 | 48.9 | 42.9 |
F. Jenneto
|
F | 1 | 23.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 18.2 | 20.0 | 50.0 | 0.8 | 25.3 | 22.7 |
D. Cain
|
G | 1 | 24.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 19.2 | 20.0 |
J. Rivera
|
G | 1 | 29.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | -23 | -1.9 | -8.5 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.15 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
A. Aycoth
|
- | 1 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
M. Lucas
|
G | 1 | 18.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | -3.0 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 16.7 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
C. Rivera
|
- | 1 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 37.5 | 37.5 |
T. Phillips
|
- | 1 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 25.8 | 0.0 |
N. Mitchell
|
G | 1 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | -4.0 | - | - | - | 12.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 11.8 | 12.5 |
J. Eichenauer
|
- | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
D. Dolan
|
- | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG