Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1053 (#130) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1030 (#230) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1040 (#171) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +11.6 (#74) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +0.3 (#360) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.390 (#405) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.633 (#236) | NetEff +4.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.561 (#376) | AdjNet +2.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.567 (#379) | AdjNet +2.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.535 (#372) | AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 65.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.549 (#258) | AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 60.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.575 (#287) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.581 (#279) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1020 (#231) | RD 94 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | CSUSB | L | 72 - 74 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Westminster (UT) | W | 89 - 74 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Western Wash. | L | 57 - 86 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Seattle Pacific | W | 74 - 51 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Cal Poly Pomona | L | 59 - 61 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Westmont | L | 40 - 66 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Azusa Pacific | W | 67 - 53 |
| 2025-12-15 | vs | Dominican (CA) | W | 75 - 68 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Dominican (CA) | L | 63 - 75 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Point Loma | L | 65 - 70 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Fresno Pacific | W | 80 - 67 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Jessup | W | 78 - 66 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Hawaii Hilo | W | 70 - 55 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Hawaii Pacific | L | 62 - 70 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Jessup | W | 73 - 45 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Chaminade | W | 70 - 38 |
| 2026-02-03 | vs | Menlo | W | 75 - 67 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Azusa Pacific | L | 54 - 62 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Hawaii Hilo | W | 66 - 49 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia Darcuiel | - | 19 | 25.8 | 13.6 | 3.4 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 13.1 | 4.6 | 139 | 6.3 | 30.8 | 40.2 | 33.3 | 75.0 | 1.28 | 47.3 | 43.6 |
| Camryn Kiernan | - | 19 | 34.8 | 12.3 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 9.2 | 8.5 | 127 | 5.8 | 20.3 | 42.0 | 42.0 | 78.8 | -1.44 | 59.4 | 55.5 |
| Ashari Cassell | - | 8 | 21.8 | 11.1 | 1.9 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 10.1 | 5.5 | 37 | 4.6 | 20.9 | 39.5 | 26.1 | 76.0 | 2.54 | 48.4 | 43.2 |
| Genesis Hopkins | - | 19 | 26.1 | 8.8 | 8.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 5.2 | 15.3 | 156 | 7.1 | 36.9 | 55.6 | 0 | 71.6 | 3.3 | 62.4 | 55.6 |
| Myia Collins | - | 19 | 24.0 | 8.5 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 7.3 | 6.5 | 143 | 6.8 | 29.6 | 47.1 | 41.2 | 62.1 | 2.07 | 53.7 | 52.2 |
| Allison Shumate | - | 17 | 13.3 | 5.9 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 4.9 | 3.2 | 66 | 3.3 | 34.9 | 47.0 | 20.0 | 55.3 | -0.24 | 50.1 | 47.6 |
| Hannah Vela | - | 19 | 26.3 | 5.0 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 109 | 5.0 | 22.8 | 32.4 | 35.3 | 51.7 | -0.57 | 40.3 | 38.1 |
| Ellana Klemp | - | 17 | 9.3 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 62 | 3.1 | 61.4 | 39.6 | 33.3 | 88.9 | 0.5 | 52.9 | 49.0 |
| Kayla Cabaccang | - | 19 | 16.1 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 14 | 0.6 | 4.5 | 35.0 | 34.1 | 50.0 | -1.04 | 46.8 | 46.7 |
| Cadence Tarrant | - | 19 | 8.7 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 1.7 | -8 | -0.4 | -4.6 | 34.8 | 0.0 | 81.8 | -0.36 | 44.9 | 34.8 |
| Christen Ziska | - | 2 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | -2 | -1.0 | -10.8 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.26 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Macy Freeze | - | 4 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | -10 | -2.5 | -44.6 | 40.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.36 | 34.0 | 40.0 |
| Audrey Counts | - | 4 | 4.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 17 | 4.2 | 64.3 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 0 | 1.46 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Cadence Williams | - | 6 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | -0.3 | -13 | -2.6 | -78.4 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.24 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Sophie McWatt | - | 15 | 6.8 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 13 | 0.9 | 11.3 | 18.8 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.15 | 18.8 | 18.8 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG