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CSUSB

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: CSUSB
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1045 (#133) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1003 (#175) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 934 (#501) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +6.0 (#151) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -0.9 (#345) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.710 (#65) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +15.6 More → 0.857 (#76) AdjNet +15.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.8 More → 0.849 (#80) AdjNet +14.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 80.4 | AdjD 69.0 More → 0.738 (#79) AdjO 80.4 | AdjD 69.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.1 | AdjD 74.7 More → 0.509 (#281) AdjO 75.1 | AdjD 74.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.449 (#354) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.454 (#349) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 95 | GP 23 More → 953 (#271) RD 95 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-01 @ Western Wash. W 91 - 78
2025-11-02 vs Simon Fraser W 83 - 73
2025-11-14 @ Vanguard L 74 - 85
2025-11-15 @ Point Loma L 66 - 87
2025-11-22 @ CUI L 66 - 75
2025-11-29 @ Azusa Pacific W 62 - 56
2025-12-04 vs Cal St. Dom. Hills L 68 - 76
2025-12-06 vs Cal State LA L 45 - 63
2025-12-19 @ Stanislaus St. W 81 - 73
2025-12-21 @ UC Merced W 61 - 60
2026-01-02 @ Cal St. East Bay L 64 - 78
2026-01-04 @ San Fran. St. W 73 - 60
2026-01-08 vs Cal St. San Marcos L 91 - 92
2026-01-10 vs Cal St. Monterey Bay W 85 - 84
2026-01-15 @ Cal Poly Pomona W 70 - 55
2026-01-17 vs Cal Poly Pomona L 60 - 68
2026-01-22 @ Chico St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 @ Cal Poly Humboldt L 78 - 80
2026-01-29 vs San Fran. St. W 99 - 90
2026-01-31 vs Cal St. East Bay L 79 - 82
2026-02-05 @ Cal St. Monterey Bay L 82 - 89
2026-02-07 @ Cal St. San Marcos L 74 - 86
2026-02-12 vs UC Merced W 81 - 65
2026-02-14 vs Stanislaus St. W 73 - 72
2026-02-19 vs Cal Poly Humboldt W 80 - 77
2026-02-21 vs Chico St. W 83 - 64
2026-02-26 @ Cal State LA L 68 - 69
2026-02-28 @ Cal St. Dom. Hills L 89 - 90

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Aidan Fowler - 27 37.0 16.0 2.9 3.0 0.9 0.1 1.7 12.9 8.4 17 24 0.7 0.8 42.1 33.6 87.5 0.59 54.5 48.1
Gavin Davis - 27 26.8 12.9 4.6 1.5 1.0 0.6 1.7 9.2 9.8 31 24 1.3 2.1 50.6 28.6 81.5 1.2 60.3 55.0
Javon Ervin - 6 22.8 11.2 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.2 2.0 8.0 5.0 - - - - 45.8 35.7 81.8 0.73 58.1 51.0
Zion Paleo - 27 23.7 10.6 2.3 3.0 0.6 0.0 1.8 7.3 7.3 37 24 1.5 2.7 40.6 37.3 80.6 1.72 56.6 47.0
Xavier Clinton - 25 27.7 10.2 3.9 1.3 1.2 0.1 1.2 8.4 7.1 3 24 0.1 0.2 43.8 38.0 65.4 -1.12 55.0 52.9
Walter Hamilton - 15 12.8 5.5 2.9 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.5 3.5 5.0 17 12 1.4 4.9 55.8 16.7 92.3 0.15 65.4 56.7
Amound Anderson II - 24 20.9 5.0 2.7 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.6 5.3 3.7 19 21 0.9 2.0 33.1 25.8 67.9 -0.41 42.7 39.4
Malachi Murrell - 23 15.7 4.7 4.3 0.4 0.9 0.3 0.8 4.0 6.0 -28 20 -1.4 -3.6 50.5 0.0 47.2 -3.47 51.0 50.5
Pablo Soumare - 24 18.2 4.4 4.8 0.7 0.5 0.3 1.5 3.6 5.6 -21 21 -1.0 -2.4 46.5 0.0 50.0 -2.38 48.6 46.5
Kaylon Mason - 18 13.2 4.0 2.6 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.4 3.6 3.4 -40 15 -2.7 -10.9 41.5 30.8 66.7 -3.47 52.2 50.8
Elijah Edwards - 18 8.2 2.6 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 2.1 1.6 -17 16 -1.1 -5.2 42.1 45.8 42.9 -2.07 56.0 56.6
Court Franklin - 26 11.9 2.3 2.7 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.4 2.2 3.1 31 23 1.3 4.8 47.4 0 29.4 -0.87 45.8 47.4
Max Zylicz - 20 8.4 1.9 1.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 2.5 1.1 13 17 0.8 3.5 26.0 24.3 80.0 0.66 37.4 35.0
Fallou Cisse - 1 3.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0.0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG