CSU Bakersfield
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2019 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1032 (#163) | - |
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1017 (#239) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1047 (#200) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 995 (#289) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 988 (#456) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.3 (#158) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +4.3 (#293) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.906 (#182) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.578 (#331) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.906 (#133) | NetEff +14.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.789 (#278) | AdjNet +11.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.777 (#284) | AdjNet +10.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.794 (#282) | AdjNet +11.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.793 (#283) | AdjNet +11.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.664 (#282) | AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 60.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.624 (#309) | AdjO 62.6 | AdjD 57.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.534 (#285) | AdjO 62.1 | AdjD 60.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.562 (#303) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.554 (#301) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 937 (#321) | RD 105 | GP 22 |
2019 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-11-09 | @ | East Texas A&M | - | Preview |
| 2018-11-10 | @ | Lubbock Christian | - | Preview |
| 2018-11-16 | vs | Montana Western | L | 78 - 80 |
| 2018-11-17 | vs | Montana Western | W | 68 - 64 |
| 2018-11-23 | vs | Eastern N.M. | - | Preview |
| 2018-11-24 | @ | West Tex. A&M | - | Preview |
| 2018-12-01 | @ | N.M. Highlands | - | Preview |
| 2018-12-07 | vs | Adams St. | W | 65 - 64 |
| 2018-12-08 | vs | Fort Lewis | W | 70 - 53 |
| 2018-12-14 | @ | Westminster (UT) | L | 58 - 65 |
| 2018-12-15 | @ | Utah Tech | W | 73 - 70 |
| 2019-01-04 | @ | Colo. Christian | W | 80 - 67 |
| 2019-01-05 | @ | Regis (CO) | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-11 | vs | Western Colo. | L | 62 - 71 |
| 2019-01-12 | vs | Colorado Mesa | L | 58 - 67 |
| 2019-01-18 | @ | MSU Denver | L | 51 - 82 |
| 2019-01-19 | @ | Chadron St. | W | 68 - 67 |
| 2019-01-25 | @ | South Dakota Mines | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-26 | @ | Black Hills St. | W | 68 - 58 |
| 2019-02-01 | vs | Colo. Sch. of Mines | L | 47 - 66 |
| 2019-02-02 | vs | UCCS | L | 59 - 67 |
| 2019-02-08 | vs | Black Hills St. | W | 73 - 63 |
| 2019-02-09 | vs | South Dakota Mines | W | 58 - 50 |
| 2019-02-15 | @ | UCCS | W | 73 - 67 |
| 2019-02-16 | @ | Colo. Sch. of Mines | L | 54 - 70 |
| 2019-02-22 | vs | Chadron St. | W | 74 - 70 |
| 2019-02-23 | vs | MSU Denver | L | 69 - 74 |
| 2019-03-01 | vs | N.M. Highlands | W | 81 - 54 |
| 2019-03-05 | @ | Colo. Sch. of Mines | L | 57 - 62 |
2019 Roster
No roster data available for this season.