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CSU Bakersfield

Season: 2026 2024 2022 2019 2018 2015 2013
Also known as: CSU Bakersfield
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1032 (#234) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1051 (#254) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1008 (#386) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +9.9 (#231) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.991 (#167) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +24.8 More → 0.946 (#142) AdjNet +24.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +24.3 More → 0.947 (#146) AdjNet +24.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 83.3 | AdjD 64.7 More → 0.845 (#149) AdjO 83.3 | AdjD 64.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 72.3 More → 0.561 (#278) AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 72.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.715 (#190) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.689 (#210) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1080 (#235) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-06 vs Whittier W 83 - 61

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
CJ Hardy - 1 16.5 17.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 12.0 -28 -2.2 -51.4 85.7 50.0 80.0 -1.39 92.4 92.9
Ronald Jessamy - 1 14.4 13.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 8.0 13.0 - - - 75.0 0 33.3 - 69.7 75.0
Dailin Smith - 1 20.2 11.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 6.0 -37 -1.8 -9.3 36.4 20.0 66.7 3.19 44.6 40.9
Tom Mark - 1 19.4 9.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 10.0 - - - 57.1 50.0 0 - 64.3 64.3
Jaden Alexander - 1 17.3 6.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 5.0 -13 -2.6 -16.2 25.0 0.0 100.0 -0.61 52.1 25.0
Pierre Geneste Jr. - 1 22.1 6.0 13.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 16.0 -26 -2.0 -67.5 60.0 0 0.0 -0.47 51.0 60.0
TJ James Jr. - 1 6.2 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 2.0 -77 -5.9 -29.2 40.0 40.0 0 -0.82 60.0 60.0
Dylan Purnell - 1 11.5 6.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 5.0 - - - 33.3 0 50.0 - 38.7 33.3
Bentley Waller - 1 14.9 6.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 2.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
AJ George - 1 22.8 3.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 0.0 11 0.6 5.5 10.0 0.0 50.0 2.64 13.8 10.0
Caleb McCarty - 1 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Mike Price - 1 14.6 0.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Kadar Waller - 1 19.2 0.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG