🐻⬇️🏀

Bushnell

Season: 2026 2020 2019
Also known as: Bushnell
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 931 (#430) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 801 (#499) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 965 (#532) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -16.0 (#569) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.409 (#394) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -2.6 More → 0.409 (#299) NetEff -2.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -8.0 More → 0.286 (#475) AdjNet -8.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -7.7 More → 0.287 (#476) AdjNet -7.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.7 | AdjD 66.9 More → 0.384 (#480) AdjO 61.7 | AdjD 66.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.0 | AdjD 64.9 More → 0.413 (#516) AdjO 61.0 | AdjD 64.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.234 (#577) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.263 (#563) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 2 More → 787 (#478) RD 350 | GP 2

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-20 @ Jessup L 63 - 65
2025-11-21 vs Stanislaus St. L 60 - 62

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Maddie Gerhart - 2 26.3 14.5 9.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 2.0 10.5 12.5 - - - 38.1 0.0 92.9 - 53.4 38.1
Sabrina Flowers - 2 30.9 12.0 3.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 11.0 4.5 - - - 31.8 26.7 75.0 - 47.0 40.9
Ayden Krupke - 2 27.7 11.0 3.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 2.5 14.0 0.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 80.0 - 34.0 25.0
Ciena Tumoine - 2 27.9 5.5 5.0 3.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 3.5 9.5 - - - 57.1 0.0 60.0 - 59.8 57.1
Kenzi Pederson - 2 30.0 5.0 4.5 2.0 0.5 1.0 3.5 4.5 5.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 100.0 - 46.5 33.3
Karlee VonMoos - 2 10.2 4.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.5 3.0 1.5 - - - 50.0 0 100.0 - 58.1 50.0
Dayvis Key - 2 11.8 3.5 7.5 1.5 1.0 0.0 2.5 3.5 7.5 - - - 28.6 0 75.0 - 40.0 28.6
Kyra Quinn - 2 17.1 3.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.5 1.5 - - - 40.0 40.0 0 - 60.0 60.0
Eliana Fleming - 2 5.1 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Katie Spillum - 2 5.1 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 - - - 0 0 75.0 - 85.2 0
Giorgia Medori - 1 5.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Jaycee Stiegeler - 2 2.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Rose Gwillim - 1 4.9 0.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG