Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1019 (#316) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1049 (#263) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1008 (#384) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +3.5 (#297) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.994 (#152) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.912 (#171) | AdjNet +20.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.917 (#168) | AdjNet +20.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.818 (#169) | AdjO 88.2 | AdjD 71.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.522 (#352) | AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 75.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.578 (#333) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.568 (#341) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1089 (#194) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cory Johnson | - | 1 | 29.0 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 85 | 4.7 | 23.1 | 37.5 | 44.4 | 0 | 1.14 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Ashton Harvey | - | 1 | 17.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 85.7 | - | 98.4 | 100.0 |
| Luke Smith | - | 1 | 22.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | -8 | -0.5 | -7.4 | 75.0 | 0 | 66.7 | -1.15 | 75.2 | 75.0 |
| Cole Beardsley | - | 1 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Aaron von Bruck | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Isaiah Wallace | - | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG