🐻⬇️🏀

Buffalo

Also known as: Buffalo Bulls, Buffalo
Program History

2022 Team Stats (5 games)

68.0
PPG
70.3
Opp
+7.9
Margin
43.1%
FG%
25.7%
3P%
79.2%
FT%
37.0
RPG
10.0
APG
15.2
TO
80.5
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1065 (#225) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1106 (#232) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 1064 (#102) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +18.5 (#248) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +16.2 (#108) HCA +2.4
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -11.3 More → 0.213 (#217) NetEff -11.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 69.2 More → 0.657 (#66) AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 69.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.806 (#116) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.781 (#112) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 135 | GP 27 More → 1126 (#123) RD 135 | GP 27

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-10 @ Michigan Wolverines L 76 - 88
2021-11-15 @ North Texas Mean Green W 69 - 66
2021-11-20 vs Rider Broncs W 87 - 65
2021-11-23 vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks L 78 - 79
2021-11-29 vs Point Park Pioneers W 94 - 49
2021-12-04 @ St. Bonaventure Bonnies L 65 - 68
2021-12-08 @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 77 - 67
2021-12-11 vs St. John Fisher Cardinals W 100 - 58
2021-12-18 @ Canisius Golden Griffins L 64 - 65
2022-01-01 @ Akron Zips L 76 - 88
2022-01-11 @ Western Michigan Broncos W 78 - 64
2022-01-14 @ Ball State Cardinals W 74 - 68
2022-01-21 vs Kent State Golden Flashes W 64 - 51
2022-01-25 @ Toledo Rockets L 75 - 86
2022-01-28 vs Ohio Bobcats L 53 - 74
2022-02-05 @ Central Michigan Chippewas W 74 - 54
2022-02-08 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 102 - 64
2022-02-12 vs Ball State Cardinals W 80 - 74
2022-02-15 @ Bowling Green Falcons W 112 - 85
2022-02-17 @ Eastern Michigan Eagles W 83 - 69
2022-02-19 vs Western Michigan Broncos W 87 - 73
2022-02-22 @ Miami (OH) Redhawks W 86 - 84
2022-02-24 @ Northern Illinois Huskies W 79 - 68
2022-02-26 vs Northern Illinois Huskies W 70 - 60
2022-03-01 vs Toledo Rockets L 76 - 92
2022-03-04 @ Kent State Golden Flashes L 65 - 70
2022-03-10 @ Akron Zips L 68 - 70

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
N. Williams N. Williams - 23 32.4 18.8 5.0 3.0 1.4 0.7 2.8 7.8 18.3 141 3.9 6.2 51.7 46.3 61.3 1.07 111.8 58.6
R. Segu R. Segu G 23 31.5 14.2 2.8 4.8 1.0 0.3 2.3 6.7 14.1 145 4.8 6.2 45.1 35.7 75.0 0.5 97.9 51.6
J. Mballa J. Mballa - 23 26.5 11.9 8.0 1.0 1.3 0.6 2.3 4.5 15.9 169 6.0 8.8 47.1 18.2 70.3 0.95 103.3 49.0
M. Jack M. Jack G 23 27.0 9.4 4.7 1.2 0.5 0.7 1.0 4.3 11.3 124 4.1 6.3 43.4 25.9 87.5 0.54 102.3 51.0
D. Skogman D. Skogman F 23 23.8 7.3 6.0 1.0 0.7 0.5 1.0 2.7 11.7 180 6.0 10.0 54.0 25.0 80.0 1.08 120.7 59.5
T. Fagan T. Fagan - 22 15.4 5.0 4.5 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.3 2.2 8.9 -73 -2.3 -4.1 44.9 34.8 69.2 0.74 100.5 53.1
K. Brewton K. Brewton G 22 13.5 4.6 1.6 0.8 0.7 0.0 1.1 3.3 3.4 40 1.4 3.6 33.3 30.4 57.1 -0.18 67.3 45.1
L. Hardnett L. Hardnett - 19 12.5 3.2 3.6 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.8 1.7 6.3 80 3.3 10.9 69.7 0.0 66.7 0.62 82.5 69.7
K. Blocker K. Blocker - 9 4.0 3.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 2.0 1.4 12 1.0 10.0 61.1 25.0 80.0 0.14 66.8 63.9
T. Perry T. Perry G 7 5.4 2.3 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.4 2.6 1.3 -96 -3.4 -4.2 27.8 0.0 50.0 2.0 42.4 27.8
Curtis Jones Curtis Jones - 22 11.1 2.1 1.5 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.8 0.8 4.1 69 2.5 7.8 44.4 41.7 60.0 0.08 116.3 58.3
L. Saleh L. Saleh - 7 3.4 1.6 1.4 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.1 2.0 -4 -0.4 -6.2 50.0 42.9 0.0 -0.09 65.2 68.8
K. Mading K. Mading C 5 5.2 1.0 1.8 0.2 0.6 1.4 0.4 0.6 4.0 10 1.7 12.9 0.0 0.0 83.3 0.07 44.3 0.0
B. Bertram B. Bertram C 11 6.8 1.0 2.2 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.4 3.7 -15 -1.0 -5.9 50.0 0 100.0 -0.4 123.9 50.0
J. Bivens J. Bivens G 7 4.4 0.4 1.6 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.7 17 1.9 17.9 14.3 0.0 33.3 0.16 18.0 14.3
Z. Williamson Z. Williamson F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG