Buena Vista
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1113 (#119) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1031 (#278) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1057 (#163) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +5.0 (#156) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -1.4 (#391) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.085 (#640) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.984 (#97) | NetEff +35.5 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.493 (#359) | NetEff -0.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.121 (#533) | AdjNet -17.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.111 (#536) | AdjNet -17.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.249 (#545) | AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 74.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.535 (#323) | AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 63.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.476 (#399) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.500 (#381) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1098 (#164) | RD 98 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Benedictine (IL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Faith Bapt. Bible | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-10 | @ | South Dakota | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Macalester | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | St. Olaf | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-20 | vs | Grinnell | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Carleton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Bethany Lutheran | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Coe | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Simpson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Northwest Mo. St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Alma | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Loras | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Wartburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Luther | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Neb. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Central (IA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Coe | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Dubuque | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Simpson | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradi Krager | - | 18 | 31.1 | 14.6 | 7.4 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 10.3 | 14.7 | -84 | -4.4 | -27.4 | 50.5 | 36.6 | 84.2 | -0.14 | 62.1 | 57.5 |
| Mary Walker | - | 18 | 30.9 | 13.8 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 3.1 | 12.1 | 6.6 | -45 | -2.4 | -15.8 | 39.2 | 31.3 | 68.8 | 3.73 | 49.6 | 45.2 |
| Tyme Boettcher | - | 18 | 26.2 | 10.7 | 5.4 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 12.1 | 5.8 | -75 | -3.9 | -27.6 | 34.9 | 24.0 | 81.8 | -3.13 | 42.4 | 40.1 |
| Adeeya Yanga | - | 18 | 22.2 | 9.6 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 8.6 | 6.2 | -51 | -2.7 | -24.1 | 46.5 | 27.3 | 68.4 | 0.9 | 50.4 | 47.4 |
| Adriana Howard | - | 14 | 19.8 | 5.9 | 6.2 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 4.9 | 8.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 45.6 | 25.0 | 78.3 | 1.61 | 52.5 | 47.1 |
| Danika Demers | - | 18 | 22.0 | 3.4 | 3.7 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 6.8 | -40 | -2.1 | -17.6 | 35.0 | 26.7 | 100.0 | -0.26 | 47.5 | 41.7 |
| McKenna Cone | - | 18 | 11.8 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 3.6 | 1.4 | -85 | -4.5 | -60.0 | 32.8 | 23.8 | 100.0 | -2.26 | 42.6 | 40.6 |
| Maddie Hilgendorf | - | 17 | 12.5 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 2.7 | 3.3 | -91 | -5.1 | -78.8 | 43.5 | 37.5 | 100.0 | -4.41 | 53.5 | 50.0 |
| Maddy Raveling | - | 18 | 14.8 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 2.1 | -74 | -3.9 | -54.5 | 40.5 | 41.2 | 33.3 | -1.66 | 47.6 | 48.8 |
| Emily Nothwehr | - | 4 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 6 | 1.2 | 154.8 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| Jenna Hallock | - | 16 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.1 | -31 | -1.8 | -31.7 | 39.1 | 0.0 | 46.2 | -1.52 | 41.8 | 39.1 |
| Ruthie Hulton | - | 2 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 60.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Olivia Mattson | - | 6 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 7 | 1.0 | 83.2 | 75.0 | 75.0 | 0 | - | 112.5 | 112.5 |
| Mckenna Scott | - | 12 | 6.0 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | -21 | -1.8 | -22.8 | 35.3 | 66.7 | 66.7 | -2.91 | 43.7 | 41.2 |
| Sophia McCullough | - | 3 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 6 | 2.0 | 92.9 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Hayley Humphrey | - | 3 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 8 | 2.0 | 195.9 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Rysaiah Sitzman | - | 8 | 4.0 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | -3 | -0.3 | -15.0 | 22.2 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.84 | 27.8 | 27.8 |
| Grace Neuberger | - | 3 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | -0.7 | 3 | 1.0 | 57.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Annie Johnson | - | 2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.49 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG