🐻⬇️🏀

Buena Vista

Season: 2026 2024
Also known as: Buena Vista
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 988 (#291) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 957 (#337) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 945 (#564) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -9.3 (#506) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.002 (#665) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -35.5 More → 0.016 (#447) NetEff -35.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -27.7 More → 0.039 (#639) AdjNet -27.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -26.6 More → 0.038 (#639) AdjNet -26.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 87.5 More → 0.121 (#672) AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 87.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 68.7 More → 0.379 (#551) AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 68.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.320 (#508) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.344 (#495) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 302 | GP 1 More → 940 (#317) RD 302 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-17 @ Northwest Mo. St. L 63 - 90

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Mary Walker - 1 28.8 17.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 10.0 - - - 60.0 50.0 66.7 - 75.1 75.0
Tyme Boettcher - 1 16.2 10.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 2.0 - - - 44.4 50.0 0 - 55.6 55.6
Adeeya Yanga - 1 13.5 10.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 0.0 - - - 45.5 0.0 0 - 45.5 45.5
Adriana Howard - 1 22.6 8.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 11.0 - - - 75.0 0.0 100.0 - 82.0 75.0
Bradi Krager - 1 25.9 5.0 9.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 10.0 10.0 - - - 20.0 33.3 0 - 25.0 25.0
McKenna Cone - 1 14.4 5.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 - - - 25.0 33.3 100.0 - 51.2 37.5
Maddie Hilgendorf - 1 16.1 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Maddy Raveling - 1 15.8 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 -1.0 - - - 33.3 33.3 0 - 50.0 50.0
Jenna Hallock - 1 9.5 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Hayley Humphrey - 1 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Mckenna Scott - 1 7.1 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 -2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ruthie Hulton - 1 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Grace Neuberger - 1 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Danika Demers - 1 19.2 0.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 1.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Rysaiah Sitzman - 1 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Emily Nothwehr - 1 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Olivia Mattson - 1 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Sophia McCullough - 1 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG