Buena Vista Beavers
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1130 (#71) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1071 (#202) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1015 (#332) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -5.7 (#199) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -8.5 (#503) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.512 (#459) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.399 (#401) | AdjNet -3.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.390 (#400) | AdjNet -3.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.447 (#394) | AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 77.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.405 (#573) | AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 75.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.365 (#525) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.375 (#527) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1054 (#293) | RD 95 | GP 22 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-11 | @ | Westminster (MO) | W | 127 - 68 |
| 2023-11-12 | vs | Fontbonne | W | 93 - 74 |
| 2023-11-19 | vs | Northland | W | 85 - 58 |
| 2023-11-24 | vs | St. Joseph's (ME) | W | 85 - 69 |
| 2023-11-25 | @ | Elmira | W | 97 - 71 |
| 2023-11-29 | vs | Central (IA) | L | 76 - 83 |
| 2023-12-02 | @ | Coe | L | 66 - 78 |
| 2023-12-05 | @ | Wis.-Superior | L | 79 - 82 |
| 2023-12-09 | vs | Luther | W | 74 - 71 |
| 2023-12-12 | vs | Faith Bapt. Bible | W | 110 - 60 |
| 2023-12-17 | @ | Claremont-M-S | L | 58 - 82 |
| 2023-12-19 | @ | Caltech | W | 88 - 46 |
| 2023-12-30 | @ | Wayne St. (NE) | L | 52 - 83 |
| 2024-01-03 | vs | Loras | L | 75 - 89 |
| 2024-01-06 | @ | Dubuque | L | 74 - 85 |
| 2024-01-10 | @ | Simpson | W | 94 - 91 |
| 2024-01-14 | vs | Wartburg | W | 91 - 82 |
| 2024-01-17 | @ | Neb. Wesleyan | L | 73 - 84 |
| 2024-01-20 | vs | Coe | L | 71 - 81 |
| 2024-01-27 | @ | Luther | W | 60 - 58 |
| 2024-01-31 | @ | Central (IA) | L | 89 - 104 |
| 2024-02-03 | vs | Dubuque | L | 73 - 99 |
| 2024-02-07 | @ | Loras | L | 77 - 99 |
| 2024-02-10 | @ | Wartburg | W | 81 - 72 |
| 2024-02-14 | vs | Simpson | W | 103 - 68 |
| 2024-02-17 | vs | Neb. Wesleyan | L | 57 - 65 |
| 2024-02-20 | @ | Loras | L | 62 - 86 |
| 2024-10-26 | vs | Dakota Wesleyan | L | 67 - 83 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhett Carter | - | 1 | 32.0 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | -21 | -4.2 | -16.6 | 69.2 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.2 | 72.0 | 69.2 |
| Zane Neubaum | - | 25 | 31.4 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 13.9 | 11.9 | -39 | -13.0 | -20.9 | 46.4 | 32.1 | 83.9 | 0.45 | 59.5 | 54.2 |
| Will Householter | - | 1 | 24.0 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 17.0 | -18 | -1.0 | -15.3 | 75.0 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 0.29 | 91.2 | 87.5 |
| Gunner Reed | - | 24 | 29.4 | 13.5 | 7.1 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 9.2 | 13.8 | -24 | -12.0 | -13.1 | 57.9 | 48.9 | 58.4 | 0.38 | 63.6 | 63.1 |
| Carter Sievers | - | 26 | 22.3 | 12.0 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 5 | 0.5 | 3.7 | 49.3 | 38.7 | 83.8 | 0.4 | 62.1 | 55.1 |
| Caelan Jones | - | 1 | 28.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | -21 | -4.2 | -16.7 | 44.4 | 20.0 | 0 | 0.2 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jackson Jones | - | 24 | 17.5 | 6.7 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.1 | 4.1 | -33 | -2.2 | -29.0 | 47.2 | 35.8 | 88.9 | 0.25 | 61.5 | 58.9 |
| Ryan Mendoza | - | 24 | 17.8 | 6.4 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 5.8 | 4.6 | -11 | -5.5 | -15.0 | 41.4 | 31.1 | 81.8 | 0.15 | 51.1 | 48.2 |
| Koleson Evans | - | 26 | 12.7 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 3.2 | 4.2 | -4 | -4.0 | -41.9 | 48.8 | 28.6 | 72.7 | -0.88 | 58.9 | 54.8 |
| Michael Santich | - | 26 | 16.1 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 3.2 | 4.3 | -11 | -5.5 | -13.8 | 47.6 | 38.5 | 61.3 | 0.19 | 58.6 | 56.7 |
| Kyle Sternberg | - | 25 | 10.9 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 3.0 | 2.8 | -2 | -0.1 | -2.2 | 37.3 | 28.1 | 78.3 | 0.33 | 48.8 | 43.3 |
| Keaton Flaherty | - | 26 | 7.1 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 1.9 | -37 | -2.5 | -105.2 | 42.2 | 26.7 | 82.4 | -0.19 | 53.2 | 48.4 |
| Christian Stanislav | - | 26 | 9.6 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.6 | 2.3 | - | - | - | 33.8 | 14.7 | 52.0 | - | 40.5 | 37.5 |
| Isaiah Adams | - | 25 | 11.2 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 3.3 | -13 | -6.5 | -17.2 | 40.9 | 25.0 | 80.0 | 0.13 | 51.7 | 47.7 |
| Will King | - | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -21 | -4.2 | -16.6 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jacob Gaudreau | - | 26 | 5.9 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 0.8 | - | - | - | 30.6 | 12.5 | 25.0 | - | 33.3 | 33.7 |
| Simon Daniel | - | 24 | 5.1 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 31.2 | 19.0 | 25.0 | - | 37.0 | 37.5 |
| Ned Hayes | - | 24 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.2 | 98.6 | 50.0 | 42.9 | 100.0 | -1.46 | 68.9 | 65.0 |
| Brody Gish | - | 24 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | -16 | -8.0 | -526.0 | 30.8 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -1.46 | 46.8 | 42.3 |
| Gabe Peterson | - | 25 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 62.5 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -1.46 | 67.6 | 68.8 |
| Blake Butvidas | - | 26 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | -1.46 | 25.6 | 25.0 |
| August Hubbard | - | 22 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Sam Slight | - | 22 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| James Frye | - | 1 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | -24 | -3.0 | -35.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Luke Jacobson | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Casey Gardner | - | 7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG