Buena Vista Beavers
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1054 (#172) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1030 (#327) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1015 (#332) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -5.7 (#279) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -8.5 (#503) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.512 (#459) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.399 (#401) | AdjNet -3.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.390 (#400) | AdjNet -3.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.447 (#394) | AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 77.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.405 (#573) | AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 75.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.365 (#526) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.375 (#527) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1052 (#286) | RD 95 | GP 22 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-11 | @ | Westminster (MO) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2023-11-12 | vs | Fontbonne | - | Incomplete score |
| 2023-11-19 | vs | Northland | - | Incomplete score |
| 2023-11-24 | vs | St. Joseph's (ME) | W | 85 - 69 |
| 2023-11-25 | @ | Elmira | - | Incomplete score |
| 2023-11-29 | vs | Central (IA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2023-12-02 | @ | Coe | - | Incomplete score |
| 2023-12-05 | @ | Wis.-Superior | - | Incomplete score |
| 2023-12-09 | vs | Luther | - | Incomplete score |
| 2023-12-12 | vs | Faith Bapt. Bible | - | Incomplete score |
| 2023-12-17 | @ | Claremont-M-S | - | Incomplete score |
| 2023-12-19 | @ | Caltech | - | Incomplete score |
| 2023-12-30 | @ | Wayne St. (NE) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-01-03 | vs | Loras | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-01-06 | @ | Dubuque | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-01-10 | @ | Simpson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-01-14 | vs | Wartburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-01-17 | @ | Neb. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-01-20 | vs | Coe | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-01-27 | @ | Luther | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-01-31 | @ | Central (IA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-02-03 | vs | Dubuque | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-02-07 | @ | Loras | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-02-10 | @ | Wartburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-02-14 | vs | Simpson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-02-17 | vs | Neb. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-02-20 | @ | Loras | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-10-26 | vs | Dakota Wesleyan | L | 67 - 83 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhett Carter | - | 1 | 32.0 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | -21 | -4.2 | -16.6 | 69.2 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.2 | 72.0 | 69.2 |
| Zane Neubaum | - | 25 | 31.4 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 13.9 | 11.9 | -39 | -13.0 | -20.9 | 46.4 | 32.1 | 83.9 | 0.45 | 59.5 | 54.2 |
| Will Householter | - | 1 | 24.0 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 17.0 | -18 | -1.0 | -15.3 | 75.0 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 0.29 | 91.2 | 87.5 |
| Gunner Reed | - | 23 | 29.7 | 13.8 | 7.3 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 9.3 | 14.1 | -24 | -12.0 | -13.1 | 58.6 | 50.0 | 58.7 | 0.38 | 64.1 | 63.7 |
| Carter Sievers | - | 25 | 22.4 | 12.2 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 8.1 | 9.4 | 5 | 0.5 | 3.7 | 49.5 | 40.7 | 85.3 | 0.4 | 62.6 | 55.4 |
| Caelan Jones | - | 1 | 28.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | -21 | -4.2 | -16.7 | 44.4 | 20.0 | 0 | 0.2 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jackson Jones | - | 23 | 18.1 | 6.9 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 5.3 | 4.2 | -33 | -2.2 | -29.0 | 47.1 | 36.2 | 88.9 | 0.25 | 61.7 | 59.1 |
| Ryan Mendoza | - | 23 | 17.9 | 6.4 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 5.8 | 4.8 | -11 | -5.5 | -15.0 | 42.1 | 31.6 | 81.8 | 0.15 | 51.9 | 48.9 |
| Koleson Evans | - | 25 | 12.8 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 3.2 | 4.4 | -4 | -4.0 | -41.9 | 51.2 | 29.4 | 72.7 | -0.88 | 61.4 | 57.5 |
| Michael Santich | - | 25 | 16.0 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 3.2 | 4.4 | -11 | -5.5 | -13.8 | 47.5 | 39.5 | 61.3 | 0.19 | 58.7 | 56.9 |
| Keaton Flaherty | - | 25 | 7.1 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 1.9 | -37 | -2.5 | -105.2 | 42.9 | 27.6 | 82.4 | -0.19 | 53.9 | 49.2 |
| Kyle Sternberg | - | 24 | 10.4 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2.9 | 2.7 | -2 | -0.1 | -2.2 | 34.8 | 24.1 | 78.3 | 0.33 | 46.1 | 39.9 |
| Christian Stanislav | - | 25 | 9.0 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 2.3 | - | - | - | 32.8 | 15.6 | 52.0 | - | 40.3 | 36.9 |
| Isaiah Adams | - | 24 | 10.9 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 3.2 | -13 | -6.5 | -17.2 | 40.5 | 25.0 | 80.0 | 0.13 | 51.7 | 47.6 |
| Will King | - | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -21 | -4.2 | -16.6 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jacob Gaudreau | - | 25 | 5.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 0.8 | - | - | - | 29.5 | 13.0 | 25.0 | - | 32.6 | 33.0 |
| Simon Daniel | - | 23 | 4.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 25.9 | 21.1 | 25.0 | - | 33.0 | 33.3 |
| Ned Hayes | - | 23 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.2 | 98.6 | 50.0 | 42.9 | 100.0 | -1.46 | 68.9 | 65.0 |
| Gabe Peterson | - | 24 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 62.5 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -1.46 | 67.6 | 68.8 |
| Brody Gish | - | 23 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | -16 | -8.0 | -526.0 | 30.0 | 40.0 | 100.0 | -1.46 | 46.0 | 40.0 |
| Blake Butvidas | - | 25 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | -1.46 | 25.6 | 25.0 |
| August Hubbard | - | 22 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Sam Slight | - | 22 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| James Frye | - | 1 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | -24 | -3.0 | -35.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Luke Jacobson | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Casey Gardner | - | 7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG