Buena Vista Beavers
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2023 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1130 (#71) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1071 (#202) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1015 (#332) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -5.7 (#199) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -8.5 (#503) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.512 (#459) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.399 (#401) | AdjNet -3.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.390 (#400) | AdjNet -3.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.447 (#394) | AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 77.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.405 (#573) | AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 75.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.365 (#525) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.375 (#527) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1054 (#293) | RD 95 | GP 22 |
2023 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-12 | vs | Westminster (MO) | W | 80 - 72 |
| 2022-11-13 | @ | Fontbonne | W | 90 - 57 |
| 2022-11-16 | @ | Saint John's (MN) | L | 57 - 67 |
| 2022-11-19 | vs | Elmhurst | L | 60 - 88 |
| 2022-11-25 | vs | Greenville | W | 137 - 106 |
| 2022-11-26 | @ | North Central (MN) | W | 82 - 76 |
| 2022-11-30 | @ | Dubuque | L | 60 - 76 |
| 2022-12-03 | @ | Loras | L | 67 - 75 |
| 2022-12-07 | vs | Neb. Wesleyan | L | 56 - 62 |
| 2022-12-10 | vs | Luther | W | 64 - 52 |
| 2022-12-17 | vs | Bethany Lutheran | W | 98 - 85 |
| 2023-01-02 | vs | UC Santa Cruz | W | 107 - 92 |
| 2023-01-04 | vs | Simpson | L | 76 - 88 |
| 2023-01-07 | @ | Coe | L | 64 - 97 |
| 2023-01-11 | @ | Central (IA) | L | 70 - 79 |
| 2023-01-14 | vs | Wartburg | L | 80 - 83 |
| 2023-01-21 | vs | Loras | L | 66 - 81 |
| 2023-01-25 | @ | Neb. Wesleyan | L | 56 - 75 |
| 2023-01-28 | @ | Luther | L | 43 - 44 |
| 2023-02-01 | vs | Dubuque | L | 57 - 65 |
| 2023-02-04 | vs | Coe | W | 79 - 77 |
| 2023-02-08 | @ | Simpson | L | 62 - 87 |
| 2023-02-11 | @ | Wartburg | L | 64 - 73 |
| 2023-02-15 | vs | Central (IA) | L | 54 - 81 |
| 2023-02-17 | vs | Wis.-Stout | W | 74 - 72 |
2023 Roster
No roster data available for this season.