Buena Vista Beavers
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2021 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1130 (#71) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1071 (#202) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1015 (#332) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -5.7 (#199) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -8.5 (#503) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.512 (#459) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.399 (#401) | AdjNet -3.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.390 (#400) | AdjNet -3.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.447 (#394) | AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 77.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.405 (#573) | AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 75.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.365 (#525) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.375 (#527) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1054 (#293) | RD 95 | GP 22 |
2021 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-01-23 | @ | Wartburg | W | 82 - 78 |
| 2021-01-28 | vs | Simpson | W | 88 - 72 |
| 2021-02-01 | vs | Loras | L | 73 - 89 |
| 2021-02-03 | vs | Neb. Wesleyan | W | 76 - 64 |
| 2021-02-06 | @ | Luther | W | 79 - 58 |
| 2021-02-07 | @ | Concordia Chicago | W | 89 - 74 |
| 2021-02-10 | @ | Coe | W | 72 - 71 |
| 2021-02-25 | @ | Neb. Wesleyan | - | Preview |
| 2021-03-01 | vs | Dubuque | L | 67 - 76 |
| 2021-03-06 | @ | Central (IA) | W | 97 - 67 |
| 2021-03-09 | vs | Wartburg | W | 96 - 70 |
| 2021-03-11 | vs | Central (IA) | W | 81 - 76 |
| 2021-03-13 | @ | Dubuque | L | 64 - 78 |
2021 Roster
No roster data available for this season.