Bryn Mawr
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 867 (#443) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 847 (#509) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 772 (#705) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -25.0 (#381) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -23.6 (#637) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.031 (#686) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.096 (#489) | NetEff -14.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.008 (#670) | AdjNet -41.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.006 (#670) | AdjNet -42.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.102 (#654) | AdjO 46.6 | AdjD 70.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.148 (#688) | AdjO 47.2 | AdjD 66.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.089 (#670) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.089 (#672) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 734 (#523) | RD 110 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Centenary (NJ) | L | 57 - 60 |
| 2025-11-11 | vs | Wilson | W | 70 - 68 |
| 2025-11-13 | vs | Penn St. Brandywine | W | 58 - 50 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Hood | L | 30 - 38 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Penn St.-Berks | W | 60 - 40 |
| 2025-11-20 | @ | Cairn | W | 65 - 56 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Marywood | L | 53 - 66 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Eastern | L | 48 - 63 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Muhlenberg | L | 49 - 72 |
| 2025-12-10 | vs | Delaware Valley | L | 42 - 59 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Haverford | L | 47 - 57 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Washington Col. | W | 73 - 68 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Swarthmore | L | 55 - 62 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Ursinus | L | 32 - 72 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Muhlenberg | L | 43 - 65 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Washington Col. | L | 27 - 72 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Ursinus | L | 44 - 61 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Franklin & Marshall | L | 42 - 71 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jenny Briggs | - | 18 | 30.5 | 11.6 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 3.5 | 14.4 | 3.0 | -97 | -4.6 | -19.6 | 27.7 | 29.3 | 54.5 | -0.69 | 37.9 | 36.5 |
| Hannah Mack | - | 16 | 27.3 | 9.3 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 10.5 | 3.8 | -80 | -4.2 | -17.4 | 31.0 | 20.0 | 68.2 | 0.05 | 39.8 | 35.4 |
| Jenna Vollor | - | 18 | 29.3 | 8.1 | 8.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 6.7 | 9.4 | -34 | -1.6 | -6.7 | 44.6 | 0.0 | 74.0 | -1.21 | 50.7 | 44.6 |
| Maddy Patel | - | 16 | 17.5 | 5.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 5.6 | 0.1 | -106 | -5.9 | -45.8 | 36.0 | 45.2 | 66.7 | -3.75 | 46.4 | 43.8 |
| Michelle Jiang | - | 18 | 26.5 | 5.1 | 5.3 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 6.7 | 4.9 | -93 | -4.4 | -20.7 | 30.8 | 11.1 | 72.7 | -2.33 | 35.5 | 31.7 |
| Hannah Govert | - | 18 | 26.0 | 4.8 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 4.9 | 3.2 | -64 | -3.0 | -16.7 | 29.5 | 20.7 | 69.0 | 0.32 | 40.9 | 33.0 |
| Sydney Gelhar | - | 12 | 17.2 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 3.8 | 0.0 | -80 | -5.7 | -27.8 | 23.9 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -5.7 | 30.3 | 23.9 |
| Cameron Richter | - | 18 | 10.5 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 3.2 | -0.8 | -126 | -6.0 | -63.0 | 21.1 | 31.2 | 41.7 | -2.8 | 27.3 | 25.4 |
| Bridget Barron | - | 17 | 10.1 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.9 | -92 | -4.6 | -49.7 | 35.5 | 0 | 56.2 | -3.28 | 40.7 | 35.5 |
| Allison Stoudt | - | 10 | 7.3 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | -0.1 | -44 | -4.0 | -228.6 | 30.0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | -1.12 | 28.7 | 35.0 |
| Danielle Hinton | - | 14 | 5.8 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.1 | -72 | -4.8 | -72.9 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -2.6 | 22.5 | 25.0 |
| Evie Vigdor | - | 8 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 | -0.2 | 12 | 1.3 | 52.0 | 14.3 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 0.31 | 28.5 | 21.4 |
| Manuela Almeida Lima | - | 11 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.4 | -8 | -0.7 | -22.1 | 11.1 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.87 | 20.2 | 11.1 |
| Sena Kaper-Dale | - | 10 | 6.5 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.8 | -52 | -4.0 | -56.6 | 11.1 | 0 | 0 | 0.92 | 11.1 | 11.1 |
| Kayla Spencer | - | 13 | 5.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | -25 | -1.7 | -51.0 | 16.7 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.0 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Keaton Olsen Fine | - | 2 | 4.3 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG