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Bry. & Strat. (Buf.)

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019
Also known as: Bry. & Strat. (Buf.)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 971 (#426) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 967 (#415) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 957 (#591) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -27.2 (#741) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.571 (#424) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -14.6 More → 0.157 (#577) AdjNet -14.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -14.9 More → 0.150 (#576) AdjNet -14.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 53.3 | AdjD 64.2 More → 0.271 (#575) AdjO 53.3 | AdjD 64.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 77.3 More → 0.331 (#643) AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 77.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.137 (#721) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.162 (#710) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 307 | GP 3 More → 797 (#549) RD 307 | GP 3

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-25 @ Westminster (PA) L 54 - 88
2025-12-06 @ Dean L 65 - 89
2025-12-07 @ Dean L 77 - 81

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tamir Thompson - 1 27.0 19.0 7.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 16.0 12.0 -24 -2.4 -17.7 37.5 0.0 100.0 3.49 49.8 37.5
Tvon Jones - 1 25.0 18.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 14.0 13.0 16 1.5 24.8 50.0 66.7 0 1.48 64.3 64.3
Jaxon Hendershott - 1 17.1 17.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 12.0 91 4.3 45.6 71.4 71.4 100.0 0.08 107.9 107.1
Emmanuel Musemena - 1 28.0 16.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 11.0 9.0 - - - 45.5 40.0 80.0 - 60.6 54.5
Cameron Watts - 1 31.0 15.0 14.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 14.0 16.0 - - - 42.9 0 60.0 - 46.3 42.9
DJ Harrell - 1 22.4 13.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 8.0 105 5.5 21.6 50.0 100.0 75.0 -0.64 66.6 62.5
Lucas Stanley - 1 18.4 12.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 7.0 59 2.8 18.9 44.4 44.4 0 0.81 66.7 66.7
Drew Weir - 1 21.2 12.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 12.0 120 5.7 22.6 50.0 60.0 75.0 -0.14 77.3 75.0
Nick Ryan - 1 20.3 10.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 6.0 4 0.2 0.8 44.4 50.0 0.0 -2.49 50.6 55.6
Trey DePietro - 1 18.4 8.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 11.0 32 1.7 11.7 100.0 0 100.0 -0.24 103.1 100.0
Nahshon Sylvester - 1 31.0 8.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 10.0 5.0 - - - 30.0 0.0 40.0 - 32.8 30.0
Phil Jr. - 1 21.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 -26 -2.0 -67.5 50.0 0 100.0 -0.47 61.5 50.0
Galen Waters - 1 25.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 -2.0 - - - 20.0 22.2 0 - 30.0 30.0
Arya Feridooni - 1 9.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 125.0 125.0
Trevor Siefke - 1 6.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 9 0.9 16.1 66.7 0 0 0.03 66.7 66.7
Carter Anderson - 1 15.8 3.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 -1 -0.1 -0.6 25.0 33.3 0 -0.42 37.5 37.5
Luke Rohan - 1 2.4 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 0 0.0 0.0 50.0 50.0 0 -0.75 75.0 75.0
Armonee Felder - 1 15.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 -2.0 - - - 16.7 20.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Rylan Dye - 1 1.8 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 4 1.0 81.4 100.0 0 0 -0.13 100.0 100.0
Mick Hergenrother - 1 23.3 2.0 10.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 17.0 130 6.5 26.7 25.0 0.0 0 2.73 25.0 25.0
Joshua Solida - 1 2.8 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 2 0.7 160.0 100.0 0 0 0.62 100.0 100.0
Kecian Primes - 1 36.0 2.0 1.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Ray Austin - 1 2.8 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jibri Carter Jr. - 1 3.6 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2 0.2 3.1 0 0 0 -0.15 0 0
Steve Evanchec - 1 2.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 -2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Skevos Kouros - 1 6.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 6 0.4 5.2 0.0 0 0 -1.42 0.0 0.0
Alex Rothwell - 1 9.5 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3 0.2 3.9 0.0 0 0.0 -3.02 0.0 0.0
JJ Smith - 1 2.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 116 5.3 29.3 0 0 0 -0.06 0 0
Julian Vizzoca - 1 2.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -2.0 -2 -0.5 -40.7 0.0 0.0 0 -0.13 0.0 0.0
Shaden Knight - 1 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Traveon Orr - 1 10.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 -14 -1.3 -25.9 0.0 0 0 -1.0 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG