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Brown

Model Outputs

1993-1994
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 776 (#253) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 949 (#188) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +119 elo More โ†’ 984 (#174) HCA +119 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.9 More โ†’ -10.0 (#253) HCA +3.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ -10.1 (#256) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.244 (#252) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -15.0 More โ†’ 0.150 (#262) AdjNet -15.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -15.2 More โ†’ 0.147 (#263) AdjNet -15.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 73.0 More โ†’ 0.306 (#250) AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 73.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 70.2 More โ†’ 0.357 (#247) AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 70.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.288 (#245) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.298 (#243) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 153 | GP 26 More โ†’ 879 (#217) RD 153 | GP 26

1994 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1993-11-22 @ Holy Cross L 78 - 79
1993-11-27 @ Providence L 57 - 98
1993-12-01 vs Rhode Island W 82 - 79
1993-12-04 vs Lafayette W 88 - 85
1993-12-07 @ Colgate L 65 - 85
1993-12-22 vs New Hampshire L 71 - 79
1993-12-30 vs Boston University W 63 - 60
1994-01-03 @ Army W 76 - 72
1994-01-06 @ Valparaiso W 76 - 73
1994-01-08 @ Xavier L 64 - 79
1994-01-10 @ Duke L 71 - 89
1994-01-15 vs Yale L 60 - 70
1994-01-17 @ Navy W 72 - 61
1994-01-22 @ Yale W 69 - 63
1994-01-28 @ Columbia L 46 - 67
1994-01-29 @ Cornell W 60 - 58
1994-02-04 @ Dartmouth L 55 - 63
1994-02-05 @ Harvard L 61 - 66
1994-02-11 vs Pennsylvania L 59 - 79
1994-02-12 vs Princeton W 71 - 68
1994-02-18 vs Cornell W 58 - 56
1994-02-19 vs Columbia W 61 - 52
1994-02-25 @ Princeton L 51 - 74
1994-02-26 @ Pennsylvania L 43 - 70
1994-03-04 vs Harvard W 65 - 60
1994-03-05 vs Dartmouth L 62 - 73

1994 Roster

No roster data available for this season.