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Brown

Model Outputs

1992-1993
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 689 (#276) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 796 (#261) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +108 elo More โ†’ 862 (#280) HCA +108 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ -13.6 (#275) HCA +3.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ -12.7 (#270) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.151 (#280) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -19.8 More โ†’ 0.092 (#279) AdjNet -19.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -20.0 More โ†’ 0.090 (#279) AdjNet -20.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 74.5 More โ†’ 0.240 (#275) AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 74.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 72.1 More โ†’ 0.307 (#275) AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 72.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.183 (#282) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.194 (#281) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 153 | GP 26 More โ†’ 745 (#277) RD 153 | GP 26

1993 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1992-12-01 @ Providence L 57 - 87
1992-12-04 @ Fairfield L 58 - 68
1992-12-05 N Florida International L 59 - 67
1992-12-08 @ Boston University W 74 - 64
1992-12-21 vs Valparaiso W 80 - 79
1992-12-30 vs Colgate W 78 - 75
1993-01-02 vs Army W 70 - 58
1993-01-05 @ Texas A&M L 52 - 92
1993-01-06 @ Prairie View A&M W 73 - 70
1993-01-12 @ New Hampshire L 53 - 71
1993-01-16 @ Yale L 43 - 58
1993-01-19 @ Rider L 70 - 82
1993-01-23 vs Yale L 52 - 60
1993-01-25 @ Rhode Island L 50 - 90
1993-01-29 @ Cornell L 63 - 74
1993-01-30 @ Columbia L 53 - 86
1993-02-05 vs Pennsylvania L 54 - 89
1993-02-06 vs Princeton W 48 - 41
1993-02-12 @ Dartmouth L 60 - 70
1993-02-13 @ Harvard W 72 - 71
1993-02-19 vs Columbia L 69 - 72
1993-02-20 vs Cornell L 72 - 79
1993-02-26 vs Harvard L 74 - 77
1993-02-27 vs Dartmouth L 64 - 65
1993-03-05 @ Princeton L 56 - 60
1993-03-06 @ Pennsylvania L 60 - 70

1993 Roster

No roster data available for this season.