Bridgewater St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 926 (#258) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 855 (#305) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 918 (#653) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -18.1 (#347) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -17.3 (#646) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.410 (#229) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.186 (#263) | AdjNet -12.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.181 (#262) | AdjNet -12.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.292 (#264) | AdjO 78.2 | AdjD 87.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.279 (#689) | AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 85.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.204 (#656) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.216 (#659) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 896 (#482) | RD 82 | GP 36 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-12 | vs | UMass Dartmouth | L | 82 - 129 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Nichols | L | 99 - 102 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Wheaton (MA) | L | 81 - 90 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Regis (MA) | L | 58 - 65 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Wentworth | W | 93 - 75 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Rhode Island Col. | L | 73 - 113 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Tufts | L | 67 - 121 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Rivier | L | 83 - 94 |
| 2025-12-10 | vs | Emerson | L | 80 - 104 |
| 2025-12-28 | @ | Whittier | W | 88 - 74 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Central (IA) | L | 68 - 100 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Fitchburg St. | W | 107 - 98 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Salem St. | L | 75 - 89 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Anna Maria | W | 82 - 66 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | MCLA | W | 90 - 72 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Westfield St. | L | 72 - 101 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Framingham St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Worcester St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Fitchburg St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Salem St. | L | 78 - 79 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Anna Maria | W | 92 - 76 |
| 2026-02-11 | @ | MCLA | L | 76 - 86 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ | Westfield St. | L | 88 - 106 |
| 2026-02-18 | vs | Framingham St. | W | 74 - 69 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ | Worcester St. | L | 87 - 96 |
| 2026-02-25 | @ | Framingham St. | L | 86 - 87 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Taylor | - | 21 | 31.1 | 16.5 | 6.2 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.6 | 14.5 | 9.4 | - | - | - | - | 46.7 | 39.5 | 62.7 | - | 51.3 | 49.2 |
| Josh Campbell | - | 12 | 28.1 | 16.1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 11.8 | 11.2 | - | - | - | - | 50.7 | 29.5 | 76.6 | - | 59.3 | 55.3 |
| Dante Kikuba | - | 20 | 28.3 | 12.7 | 4.0 | 5.4 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 2.9 | 10.6 | 10.6 | - | - | - | - | 39.8 | 32.2 | 72.7 | - | 51.7 | 46.7 |
| Louis Jennings | - | 20 | 24.9 | 12.0 | 7.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 9.9 | 11.0 | - | - | - | - | 50.8 | 31.2 | 72.0 | - | 57.1 | 55.8 |
| Sam Sweeney | - | 22 | 25.4 | 11.3 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 8.9 | 6.5 | - | - | - | - | 40.5 | 37.8 | 85.0 | - | 58.3 | 54.9 |
| Samuel Omisore | - | 7 | 20.1 | 11.0 | 6.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 8.7 | 8.0 | - | - | - | - | 47.5 | 22.7 | 56.0 | - | 53.5 | 51.6 |
| Jacob Stull | - | 1 | 13.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | - | 57.1 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Aidan Rock | - | 18 | 16.4 | 4.9 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 2.9 | 6.9 | - | - | - | - | 61.5 | 53.8 | 81.0 | - | 71.8 | 68.3 |
| Abdoul Bah | - | 20 | 12.3 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 3.8 | - | - | - | - | 42.4 | 35.0 | 77.8 | - | 50.8 | 48.3 |
| Jamaal McConnell | - | 13 | 7.1 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 1.8 | - | - | - | - | 32.1 | 37.5 | 90.9 | - | 47.2 | 37.5 |
| Steven Morrell | - | 4 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | - | - | - | - | 66.7 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Jayden Florestal | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Matt Morgan | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kyden Wiley | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jake Olmstead | - | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG