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Bridgewater College (VA)

Also known as: Bridgewater College (VA) Eagles
Program History

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 927 (#617) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 897 (#676) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 998 (#215) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -2.1 (#523) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → -3.4 (#400) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 69.1 More → 0.490 (#265) AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 69.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.403 (#386) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.417 (#377) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 920 (#394) RD 350 | GP 1

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 @ Norfolk State Spartans L 56 - 79

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
A. Pack A. Pack G 1 37.0 24.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 30.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.11 0 0
L. Caswell L. Caswell - 1 25.0 14.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 15.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
A. Oates A. Oates - 1 27.0 10.0 5.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 18.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
R. Smith R. Smith - 1 30.0 5.0 5.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 10.0 -121 -4.0 -5.6 0 0 0 0.71 0 0
Z. Hatter Z. Hatter - 1 20.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Crenshaw J. Crenshaw - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
A. Topper A. Topper - 1 27.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
W. Dunlap W. Dunlap - 1 12.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
K. Dillon K. Dillon F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
M. Ciccone M. Ciccone - 1 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
K. Robinson K. Robinson F 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 56 2.5 6.1 0 0 0 -0.12 0 0
D. Woodley D. Woodley G 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
M. Ayala M. Ayala - 1 11.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG