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Bridgewater (VA)

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Bridgewater (VA)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1141 (#33) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1260 (#27) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1222 (#17) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +12.6 (#72) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +19.0 (#124) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.936 (#213) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +21.6 More → 0.960 (#123) NetEff +21.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +19.6 More → 0.905 (#209) AdjNet +19.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +19.2 More → 0.907 (#206) AdjNet +19.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.0 | AdjD 52.9 More → 0.696 (#241) AdjO 62.0 | AdjD 52.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.3 | AdjD 47.3 More → 0.811 (#52) AdjO 63.3 | AdjD 47.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.893 (#69) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.893 (#61) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 21 More → 1337 (#19) RD 99 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-10 vs Mary Baldwin W 74 - 37
2025-11-15 vs Chris. Newport W 71 - 65
2025-11-16 vs Catholic L 48 - 68
2025-11-18 vs Stevenson W 51 - 44
2025-11-21 @ Hood W 70 - 33
2025-11-25 @ Southern Va. W 71 - 51
2025-12-03 vs Randolph W 54 - 42
2025-12-17 @ Mary Washington L 56 - 63
2025-12-31 @ Methodist W 56 - 20
2026-01-10 vs Guilford W 85 - 72
2026-01-14 @ Lynchburg W 76 - 61
2026-01-17 vs Hollins W 55 - 33
2026-01-21 @ Wash. & Lee L 57 - 63
2026-01-23 vs Va. Wesleyan W 58 - 37
2026-01-29 vs Shenandoah W 63 - 49
2026-01-30 vs Averett W 69 - 42
2026-02-04 @ Randolph-Macon L 50 - 65
2026-02-07 @ Guilford W 54 - 48

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Riley Corcoran - 17 32.2 18.7 4.4 1.2 2.2 0.3 1.9 14.4 10.6 165 6.9 34.3 46.7 20.9 71.7 4.12 54.1 48.6
Rileigh Weaver - 1 30.0 15.0 11.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 11.0 13.0 -103 -6.4 -83.0 63.6 0 50.0 1.6 63.1 63.6
Jenna Steadman - 1 30.0 13.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 12.0 -108 -6.8 -68.3 55.6 40.0 25.0 -0.73 60.4 66.7
Jay Garcia - 17 30.9 12.0 9.6 2.5 1.2 1.2 3.1 10.4 13.0 158 6.6 34.4 36.7 30.8 84.9 2.97 48.8 40.1
Jaiden Polston - 17 30.0 10.7 7.4 2.3 1.8 1.0 2.4 7.6 13.1 145 6.0 33.6 59.2 0 51.9 1.41 59.2 59.2
Juliona Mabie - 1 34.0 9.0 8.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 8.0 11.0 -72 -4.8 -106.3 50.0 0 50.0 0.76 50.7 50.0
Maddy Jenisch - 1 29.0 9.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 4.0 -70 -4.4 -47.1 30.0 33.3 100.0 0.92 41.4 35.0
Jasmine Griffin - 3 22.2 7.3 2.7 3.7 1.3 0.3 2.7 5.0 7.7 26 5.2 40.7 60.0 40.0 50.0 -0.28 65.6 66.7
Ainsley Phillips - 1 20.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 -2.0 -88 -5.9 -266.0 42.9 0.0 0.0 -1.44 40.3 42.9
McKenna Huff - 1 18.0 6.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 8.0 -26 -1.7 -92.7 66.7 50.0 50.0 -0.46 77.3 83.3
Aylin Humpherys - 11 24.7 5.9 1.4 0.9 1.2 0.1 2.0 6.1 1.4 117 6.5 154.4 34.3 28.6 61.1 -0.37 43.4 40.3
Emma Terry - 1 24.0 5.0 2.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 -133 -8.3 -78.6 50.0 50.0 0 0.21 62.5 62.5
Autumn Gentry - 17 23.3 4.9 3.9 0.6 0.6 0.0 1.4 6.1 2.6 121 5.0 32.2 33.7 16.3 54.5 3.1 38.6 37.5
Asia Williams - 17 26.0 4.1 2.4 2.0 1.2 0.2 1.5 4.5 3.8 143 6.5 31.2 35.1 0.0 68.2 3.1 39.8 35.1
Katie O'Connor - 5 10.5 2.6 1.4 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.4 3.6 1.0 14 2.3 17.7 33.3 16.7 0 -0.63 36.1 36.1
Anna-Faith Brunk - 12 6.5 2.4 1.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 2.2 1.6 26 1.6 114.9 46.2 0 55.6 0.32 48.4 46.2
Abbie Baker - 16 7.6 1.8 2.3 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.9 2.0 1.7 46 2.1 42.8 34.4 0 100.0 -1.69 40.4 34.4
Savannah Wilson - 14 8.9 1.8 1.5 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.7 1.8 48 2.7 34.3 37.5 33.3 45.5 1.92 43.3 41.7
Cierra St. John - 3 9.3 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.0 - - - 25.0 50.0 50.0 - 41.0 37.5
Angelina Yann - 16 10.3 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.8 1.6 0.3 -8 -0.4 -5.3 24.0 17.6 50.0 -1.84 30.9 30.0
My'la Green - 12 5.8 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.5 1.5 -0.2 18 1.2 32.0 5.6 0.0 50.0 0.2 7.9 5.6
Julianna Fisher - 1 9.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -1.0 -80 -4.4 -93.0 0.0 0 0 -1.56 0.0 0.0
Hannah Warschaw - 1 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 -47 -4.3 -108.0 0 0 0 -1.37 0 0
Aurora Evans - 1 3.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG