🐻⬇️🏀

Brevard

Also known as: Brevard
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 884 (#547) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 862 (#535) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 890 (#687) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -15.8 (#414) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -16.9 (#637) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.376 (#548) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -17.3 More → 0.120 (#617) AdjNet -17.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -17.4 More → 0.117 (#616) AdjNet -17.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 82.3 More → 0.243 (#596) AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 82.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 81.6 More → 0.283 (#687) AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 81.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.187 (#672) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.200 (#674) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 97 | GP 22 More → 816 (#541) RD 97 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 vs Oglethorpe - Incomplete score
2025-11-12 vs LaGrange - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 @ Warren Wilson - Incomplete score
2025-11-18 @ Bob Jones - Incomplete score
2025-11-24 vs Warren Wilson - Incomplete score
2025-12-02 @ Piedmont - Incomplete score
2025-12-05 vs Bob Jones - Incomplete score
2025-12-12 @ Gardner-Webb - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 vs JWU Charlotte - Incomplete score
2025-12-29 vs Sewanee - Incomplete score
2025-12-30 @ Oglethorpe - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 vs Mary Baldwin - Incomplete score
2026-01-06 @ Southern Va. - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 @ Methodist - Incomplete score
2026-01-11 @ N.C. Wesleyan - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 vs Pfeiffer - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs William Peace - Incomplete score
2026-01-20 @ JWU Charlotte - Incomplete score
2026-01-23 vs Southern Va. - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Mary Baldwin - Incomplete score
2026-02-05 @ Greensboro - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 vs Methodist - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jadon Carnes - 21 34.4 16.8 4.3 4.2 1.0 0.2 1.6 11.1 13.9 -67 -3.0 -14.1 56.4 40.0 88.7 -1.26 67.6 63.7
Twain Wilson - 18 30.3 16.2 3.6 1.3 1.5 0.3 1.9 11.8 9.2 8 0.4 2.2 48.1 35.3 74.2 0.21 61.0 58.0
KK Horton - 20 31.5 11.8 3.5 4.0 1.0 0.5 1.9 9.7 9.2 -62 -2.8 -14.7 47.9 32.8 60.8 0.9 54.7 53.1
Malachi McLean - 14 14.2 9.5 0.8 0.4 0.6 0.0 1.8 7.4 2.1 -8 -0.6 -11.0 47.1 40.7 100.0 -1.77 61.1 58.7
Tyler Baldwin - 20 18.5 8.9 1.4 1.9 1.5 0.1 0.8 7.0 6.0 45 2.4 21.1 41.4 37.1 73.0 1.22 57.3 54.3
Dre'Shaun Brown - 20 30.1 7.2 6.1 2.9 1.4 0.8 1.9 6.0 10.3 33 1.6 7.7 51.2 40.0 46.4 2.8 53.6 53.7
Brock McKnight - 20 27.4 5.8 3.0 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.8 4.3 5.3 -30 -1.4 -7.3 46.5 43.6 78.6 -2.16 62.4 60.5
Khalil Black - 18 10.9 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 3.7 3.4 -7 -0.4 -6.5 47.0 26.1 80.8 -0.59 57.5 51.5
Caleb Duncan - 14 4.7 2.1 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.4 1.7 1.1 10 0.8 11.0 50.0 50.0 33.3 1.0 54.4 56.2
Zane Caudle - 16 8.3 1.9 0.7 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.6 1.3 1.8 -18 -1.1 -19.7 38.1 37.5 88.9 -0.61 60.1 52.4
Noah Osuji - 17 5.2 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.2 0.9 8 0.5 11.5 47.6 0.0 15.4 0.21 41.2 47.6
Jordyne Sutherland - 3 2.6 1.3 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.7 -1 -0.3 -25.8 100.0 100.0 50.0 - 106.4 150.0
Ryder Block - 11 3.7 1.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.6 1.2 0.5 - - - 38.5 20.0 50.0 - 43.2 42.3
LeCedric Brown - 4 2.5 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.8 0.8 4 1.0 42.5 33.3 100.0 0 0.79 50.0 50.0
Blake Walker - 4 2.7 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.2 2 0.5 51.6 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 25.8 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG