🐻⬇️🏀

Brevard College Tornados

Also known as: Brevard College Tornados
Program History

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 991 (#402) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → -7.7 (#691) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -16.8 (#525) HCA +3.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 66.9 More → 0.434 (#468) AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 66.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.169 (#551) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.206 (#546) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 3 More → 811 (#546) RD 350 | GP 3

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-19 @ Furman Paladins L 53 - 76
2012-11-21 @ Radford Highlanders L 53 - 81
2012-12-04 @ Winthrop Eagles L 54 - 77

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. Pickett D. Pickett G 2 36.5 15.0 4.5 2.5 2.0 0.0 4.5 0.0 19.5 -16 -0.9 -0.9 0 0 0 0.56 0 0
M. Miller M. Miller G 2 30.0 12.0 5.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 2.5 0.0 17.5 - - - 0 0 0 -0.23 0 0
G. Simmons G. Simmons - 2 29.5 4.5 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 2.0 0.0 8.5 - - - 0 0 0 -0.47 0 0
A. Moe A. Moe - 2 24.5 4.0 4.5 1.0 1.0 1.5 4.5 0.0 7.5 - - - 0 0 0 -0.22 0 0
M. Ward M. Ward - 2 26.0 1.0 1.5 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.5 0.0 2.0 122 5.1 7.0 0 0 0 1.01 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG