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Bradley

Season: 2026 2015
Also known as: Bradley
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1025 (#280) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1046 (#272) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 991 (#517) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +15.7 (#161) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.996 (#134) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +31.3 More → 0.974 (#102) AdjNet +31.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +30.7 More → 0.975 (#106) AdjNet +30.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 84.1 | AdjD 62.5 More → 0.876 (#124) AdjO 84.1 | AdjD 62.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 70.5 More → 0.651 (#145) AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 70.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.761 (#136) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.740 (#153) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 311 | GP 1 More → 1056 (#279) RD 311 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-14 vs North Central (IL) W 86 - 53

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jaquan Johnson - 1 26.0 19.0 3.0 2.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 19.0 3 0.2 1.9 63.6 40.0 60.0 2.69 72.0 72.7
Montana Wheeler - 1 20.4 13.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 11.0 - - - 62.5 50.0 0.0 - 69.7 81.2
Alex Huibregtse - 1 24.0 12.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 10.0 7.0 - - - 30.0 12.5 100.0 - 49.2 35.0
Ahmet Jonovic - 1 18.0 10.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 6.0 - - - 80.0 0 100.0 - 85.0 80.0
Matthew Zobrist - 1 9.2 7.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 7.0 - - - 33.3 50.0 100.0 - 73.5 50.0
AJ Smith - 1 22.5 5.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 10.0 21 1.5 8.8 66.7 50.0 0.0 0.93 52.5 83.3
Corey Thomas - 1 17.1 5.0 9.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 10.0 112 5.1 27.1 33.3 0.0 75.0 0.54 52.5 33.3
Demarion Burch - 1 22.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 1.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Dietrich Richardson - 1 14.2 4.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 103 4.9 23.8 33.3 0 50.0 -1.51 42.0 33.3
Timoty van der Knaap - 1 12.6 4.0 3.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 - - - 33.3 0 100.0 - 51.5 33.3
Kai Yu - 1 9.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 - - - 50.0 0 50.0 - 52.1 50.0
Gus Rugaard - 1 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Handy Toussaint III - 1 2.5 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -4 -0.3 -15.4 0.0 0 0.0 -0.34 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG