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Bradley

Season: 2026 2015
Also known as: Bradley
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1026 (#273) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1053 (#262) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 991 (#517) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +15.7 (#161) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.996 (#134) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +31.3 More → 0.974 (#102) AdjNet +31.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +30.7 More → 0.975 (#106) AdjNet +30.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 84.1 | AdjD 62.5 More → 0.876 (#124) AdjO 84.1 | AdjD 62.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 70.5 More → 0.651 (#145) AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 70.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.761 (#137) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.740 (#152) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 310 | GP 1 More → 1058 (#275) RD 310 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-14 vs North Central (IL) - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.