Bradley
Model Outputs
1999-2000
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1112 (#104) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1032 (#140) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 995 (#159) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +5.5 (#91) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +5.9 (#89) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.560 (#126) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.718 (#92) | AdjNet +8.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.722 (#92) | AdjNet +8.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.599 (#103) | AdjO 66.6 | AdjD 62.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.562 (#109) | AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 62.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.617 (#108) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.610 (#109) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1032 (#132) | RD 145 | GP 30 |
2000 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999-11-19 | vs | South Alabama | W | 68 - 59 |
| 1999-11-22 | vs | Illinois | L | 62 - 72 |
| 1999-11-27 | @ | Loyola (IL) | L | 45 - 52 |
| 1999-12-01 | @ | Western Illinois | W | 79 - 75 |
| 1999-12-04 | vs | Georgia State | W | 89 - 73 |
| 1999-12-08 | vs | George Washington | W | 75 - 65 |
| 1999-12-16 | N | Auburn | L | 64 - 78 |
| 1999-12-19 | @ | Drake | L | 63 - 75 |
| 1999-12-22 | vs | Southeast Missouri State | L | 60 - 65 |
| 1999-12-27 | @ | Hawaii | L | 63 - 67 |
| 1999-12-29 | N | Villanova | L | 62 - 63 |
| 1999-12-30 | N | Ohio | L | 52 - 63 |
| 2000-01-05 | @ | Wichita State | W | 75 - 64 |
| 2000-01-08 | vs | Indiana State | W | 62 - 51 |
| 2000-01-12 | @ | Northern Iowa | L | 46 - 50 |
| 2000-01-15 | vs | Evansville | W | 61 - 58 |
| 2000-01-19 | vs | Wichita State | W | 77 - 64 |
| 2000-01-22 | @ | Southern Illinois | L | 59 - 72 |
| 2000-01-26 | vs | Illinois State | W | 71 - 68 |
| 2000-01-30 | vs | Missouri State | W | 70 - 57 |
| 2000-02-02 | @ | Evansville | L | 79 - 85 |
| 2000-02-05 | vs | Northern Iowa | W | 80 - 39 |
| 2000-02-08 | @ | Illinois State | L | 74 - 75 |
| 2000-02-13 | @ | Creighton | L | 56 - 73 |
| 2000-02-16 | vs | Drake | W | 55 - 40 |
| 2000-02-19 | @ | Missouri State | L | 61 - 69 |
| 2000-02-23 | vs | Creighton | W | 73 - 65 |
| 2000-02-26 | vs | Southern Illinois | W | 71 - 63 |
| 2000-02-28 | @ | Indiana State | L | 54 - 56 |
| 2000-03-04 | N | Creighton | L | 62 - 71 |
2000 Roster
No roster data available for this season.