🐻⬇️🏀

Boyce

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Boyce
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 959 (#447) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 937 (#444) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1017 (#315) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -8.4 (#498) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.297 (#598) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -17.1 More → 0.122 (#613) AdjNet -17.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -17.2 More → 0.118 (#610) AdjNet -17.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.7 | AdjD 77.9 More → 0.230 (#623) AdjO 64.7 | AdjD 77.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 73.7 More → 0.472 (#473) AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 73.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.270 (#602) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.317 (#572) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 226 | GP 3 More → 918 (#456) RD 226 | GP 3

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-10 @ Rhodes L 65 - 93
2025-12-13 vs Huntingdon L 63 - 91
2026-01-20 @ Asbury W 81 - 64

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Andrew Thomas - 3 31.3 23.0 8.0 1.0 2.3 0.3 2.0 17.0 15.7 29 1.6 7.0 45.1 42.9 73.9 -1.55 56.4 51.0
Josh Sangalli - 3 25.4 13.0 4.3 2.7 1.0 0.0 3.7 11.0 6.3 - - - 42.4 27.3 88.9 - 52.8 47.0
Tom Armbruster - 1 14.2 10.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 8.0 - - - 42.9 33.3 75.0 - 57.1 50.0
T'e Stone - 2 28.8 9.5 4.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 2.0 4.5 9.0 - - - 55.6 50.0 72.7 - 68.6 61.1
Ben Cox - 3 19.0 4.7 2.0 0.7 0.3 0.3 1.7 5.0 1.3 - - - 33.3 22.2 66.7 - 42.9 40.0
Luke Bee - 3 15.3 4.7 1.7 2.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 2.3 6.0 - - - 42.9 33.3 100.0 - 72.6 57.1
Boston Boike - 3 21.1 3.7 2.3 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.7 7.3 -0.7 - - - 18.2 21.4 0 - 25.0 25.0
Daniel Smith - 3 21.0 3.3 4.7 0.0 0.7 1.0 0.0 3.3 6.3 -37 -1.8 -9.3 50.0 0.0 0.0 3.19 47.9 50.0
Luis Monroe - 3 13.7 1.7 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.3 3.7 -2.0 - - - 18.2 20.0 0 - 22.7 22.7
Trevor Nauert - 2 5.7 0.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 - - - 0 0 0.0 - 0.0 0
Ethan Sons - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Connor Willis - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 54 2.5 24.9 0 0 0 -0.06 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG