🐻⬇️🏀

Boyce

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023
Also known as: Boyce
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 980 (#233) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 961 (#309) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 983 (#389) HCA +95 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -18.2 (#521) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.002 (#717) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -27.6 More → 0.039 (#687) AdjNet -27.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -27.4 More → 0.036 (#688) AdjNet -27.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.6 | AdjD 94.8 More → 0.100 (#705) AdjO 70.6 | AdjD 94.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 77.5 More → 0.392 (#464) AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 77.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.245 (#510) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.266 (#502) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 313 | GP 1 More → 921 (#325) RD 313 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-11 @ Thomas More L 55 - 93

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Boston Boike - 1 24.5 14.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 10.0 7.0 34 1.5 14.3 50.0 50.0 0 0.04 70.0 70.0
Andrew Thomas - 1 28.6 14.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 15.0 9.0 -37 -3.4 -94.1 40.0 25.0 33.3 -2.23 42.9 43.3
Ben Cox - 1 15.8 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 62.5 62.5
Luke Bee - 1 7.9 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 - - - 25.0 33.3 50.0 - 41.0 37.5
Josh Sangalli - 1 23.8 4.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 12.0 -2.0 - - - 16.7 0.0 0 - 16.7 16.7
T'e Stone - 1 14.7 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Luis Monroe - 1 19.9 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Trevor Nauert - 1 5.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Daniel Smith - 1 19.9 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 55 3.1 13.3 0.0 0 0 1.42 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG