Bowling Green
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1051 (#133) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1091 (#105) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1011 (#304) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +47.1 (#6) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 1.000 (#39) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.999 (#53) | NetEff +46.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.998 (#24) | AdjNet +53.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.999 (#22) | AdjNet +55.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.966 (#22) | AdjO 85.2 | AdjD 48.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.815 (#23) | AdjO 73.8 | AdjD 57.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.953 (#7) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.938 (#9) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1154 (#72) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Alas. Anchorage | W | 67 - 63 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Kentucky St. | W | 103 - 32 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paige Kohler | - | 2 | 27.7 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 12.5 | 10.5 | - | - | - | 44.0 | 16.7 | 66.7 | - | 51.8 | 48.0 |
| Johnea Donahue | - | 2 | 24.2 | 13.5 | 4.5 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 19.5 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 100.0 | 83.3 | - | 70.0 | 60.7 |
| Taya Ellis | - | 2 | 16.2 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 18.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 87.5 | 60.0 |
| Emily Siesel | - | 2 | 26.1 | 7.5 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.5 | 9.5 | - | - | - | 45.5 | 28.6 | 75.0 | - | 58.8 | 54.5 |
| Jasmine Fearne | - | 2 | 22.9 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 9.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 27.8 | 23.5 | 50.0 | - | 39.7 | 38.9 |
| Sofia Moschen | - | 2 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 4.5 | - | - | - | 62.5 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 78.8 | 81.2 |
| Joniyah Bland-Fitzpatrick | - | 2 | 10.1 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 4.5 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 0.0 | 37.5 | - | 43.9 | 44.4 |
| Lauren Gerken | - | 2 | 13.7 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 30.0 | 0 | - | 45.8 | 45.8 |
| Jaedyn Cook | - | 2 | 8.6 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 7.0 | 7 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 80.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 1.28 | 74.0 | 80.0 |
| Kaia Woods | - | 2 | 11.8 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4.0 | -5 | -0.3 | -2.2 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 75.0 | 0.35 | 84.0 | 83.3 |
| Ky'Aira Miller | - | 2 | 12.6 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 22.2 | 50.0 | 66.7 | - | 33.9 | 27.8 |
| Kendal Moxey | - | 2 | 6.6 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 69.4 | 100.0 |
| Laila Harrison | - | 2 | 9.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG