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Bowling Green

Also known as: Bowling Green Falcons, Bowling Green
Program History

2022 Team Stats (3 games)

65.3
PPG
79.5
Opp
+0.5
Margin
39.8%
FG%
33.8%
3P%
60.0%
FT%
34.0
RPG
11.3
APG
11.3
TO
80.1
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1154 (#168) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1116 (#227) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 895 (#614) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +19.5 (#235) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +3.2 (#305) HCA +2.4
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -26.9 More → 0.050 (#301) NetEff -26.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.1 | AdjD 79.0 More → 0.412 (#548) AdjO 75.1 | AdjD 79.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.544 (#289) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.503 (#299) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 152 | GP 28 More → 916 (#418) RD 152 | GP 28

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 @ Western Carolina Catamounts L 71 - 79
2021-11-12 vs Ohio Wesleyan Battling Bishops W 101 - 60
2021-11-15 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 58 - 89
2021-11-19 vs Norfolk State Spartans L 84 - 90
2021-11-23 vs Milwaukee Panthers W 82 - 68
2021-11-28 vs Chicago State Cougars W 75 - 57
2021-12-01 @ Duquesne Dukes W 78 - 70
2021-12-07 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 73 - 72
2021-12-19 vs Robert Morris Colonials W 100 - 74
2021-12-21 vs Carlow University Celtics W 129 - 50
2022-01-01 @ Ball State Cardinals L 80 - 81
2022-01-11 @ Ohio Bobcats L 78 - 85
2022-01-15 vs Toledo Rockets L 78 - 91
2022-01-18 @ Northern Illinois Huskies W 92 - 83
2022-01-20 vs Akron Zips L 66 - 91
2022-01-22 @ Western Michigan Broncos W 82 - 75
2022-01-25 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 85 - 71
2022-01-29 vs Kent State Golden Flashes L 83 - 91
2022-02-01 @ Central Michigan Chippewas L 74 - 78
2022-02-05 vs Northern Illinois Huskies W 87 - 65
2022-02-08 @ Kent State Golden Flashes L 68 - 76
2022-02-12 @ Miami (OH) Redhawks L 78 - 94
2022-02-15 vs Buffalo Bulls L 85 - 112
2022-02-19 vs Ball State Cardinals L 82 - 91
2022-02-22 @ Akron Zips L 68 - 82
2022-02-26 vs Western Michigan Broncos L 67 - 78
2022-03-01 vs Ohio Bobcats W 80 - 77
2022-03-04 @ Toledo Rockets L 56 - 96

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
L. Ayers III L. Ayers III - 1 35.0 20.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 24.0 -104 -3.9 -5.9 0 0 0 0.67 0 0
D. Plowden D. Plowden - 19 29.4 15.6 6.1 1.1 0.9 0.9 2.0 3.0 19.6 - - - 40.4 35.3 75.0 -0.12 224.9 45.6
A. Garcia A. Garcia G 2 24.5 14.5 4.5 0.5 1.0 0.5 3.5 0.0 17.5 178 7.1 13.7 0 0 0 1.55 0 0
M. Gordon M. Gordon G 9 24.0 12.1 2.7 3.6 1.4 0.0 0.9 2.8 16.1 55 2.4 4.7 36.0 44.4 80.0 0.64 172.5 44.0
J. Reece J. Reece - 10 18.4 10.2 4.7 0.9 1.4 0.6 1.3 2.8 13.7 57 2.5 5.1 57.1 66.7 53.8 0.56 151.2 60.7
T. Diggs T. Diggs G 19 26.0 9.3 4.9 0.9 0.6 0.3 1.0 2.2 12.8 -15 -0.5 -0.8 29.3 22.2 66.7 0.43 209.1 36.6
S. Curtis S. Curtis - 27 22.7 8.9 3.1 3.3 0.9 0.1 2.3 1.3 12.7 -34 -1.1 -2.1 34.3 18.8 71.4 -0.03 292.8 38.6
Justyn Hamilton Justyn Hamilton - 2 28.0 8.0 7.5 0.5 0.5 1.5 2.0 0.0 16.0 209 7.2 9.8 0 0 0 0.63 0 0
M. Kulackovskis M. Kulackovskis F 15 16.3 7.3 2.9 0.5 0.4 0.2 1.2 1.1 9.1 27 1.1 3.0 68.8 0.0 85.7 0.49 285.6 68.8
Chandler Turner Chandler Turner - 19 17.9 7.2 3.8 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.8 1.7 10.3 0 0.0 0.0 36.4 27.3 85.7 -0.03 188.5 40.9
N. Kiger N. Kiger - 1 8.0 7.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Fulcher J. Fulcher - 17 18.8 5.1 3.9 1.9 0.4 0.0 1.4 1.4 8.5 12 0.4 0.9 26.1 0.0 62.5 0.07 162.1 26.1
R. Mitchell R. Mitchell - 1 13.0 5.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
G. Spicer G. Spicer - 1 23.0 5.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 10.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
N. Carlson N. Carlson - 1 16.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
B. Mills B. Mills - 28 21.2 4.6 1.9 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.9 1.0 5.9 - - - 40.7 37.5 33.3 -0.46 227.8 46.3
K. Metheny K. Metheny G 2 17.0 4.5 1.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 2.5 5.0 -0.5 18 1.8 2.9 40.0 20.0 0 0.14 45.0 45.0
C. Young C. Young - 12 12.9 3.6 3.0 0.6 0.9 0.5 1.0 1.0 6.6 16 0.7 2.6 33.3 25.0 0.0 0.34 166.9 37.5
G. O'Neal G. O'Neal - 23 9.7 3.3 2.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.4 4.5 -62 -2.4 -9.6 50.0 0 75.0 -0.79 323.1 50.0
S. Towns S. Towns F 1 19.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 8.0 -32 -1.2 -4.3 0 0 0 -0.62 0 0
C. White C. White - 1 11.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 5.0 - - - 0 0 0 0.5 0 0
R. Sheridan R. Sheridan - 1 7.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
I. Elsasser I. Elsasser - 17 6.9 2.8 0.9 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.4 3.8 70 3.9 22.3 71.4 100.0 0 1.0 335.7 92.9
P. Crabtree P. Crabtree - 1 12.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Washington J. Washington F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -44 -1.6 -2.0 - - - -0.3 - -
D. Tillman D. Tillman - 1 9.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 84 4.0 8.1 0 0 0 -0.04 0 0
J. Duke J. Duke - 1 6.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
S. Reed S. Reed - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG