Bowie St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1074 (#101) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1015 (#274) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1096 (#75) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +2.2 (#146) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +6.4 (#258) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.535 (#346) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.827 (#169) | NetEff +10.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.473 (#417) | AdjNet -0.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.482 (#419) | AdjNet -0.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.496 (#409) | AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 63.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.643 (#128) | AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 56.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.667 (#217) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.674 (#205) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1135 (#87) | RD 100 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | vs | East Stroudsburg | L | 48 - 57 |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | Shepherd | W | 82 - 72 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Mansfield | W | 73 - 36 |
| 2025-11-24 | vs | Shippensburg | W | 83 - 54 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Dist. Columbia | W | 81 - 54 |
| 2025-12-01 | @ | Millersville | W | 70 - 45 |
| 2025-12-05 | @ | Shippensburg | W | 71 - 37 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Winston-Salem | L | 58 - 68 |
| 2025-12-15 | vs | Livingstone | W | 74 - 65 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Lynn | W | 73 - 63 |
| 2025-12-21 | @ | Palm Beach Atl. | L | 50 - 58 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Johnson C. Smith | L | 50 - 54 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Fayetteville St. | L | 53 - 65 |
| 2026-01-12 | @ | Shaw | W | 49 - 45 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Lincoln (PA) | W | 65 - 55 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Virginia St. | L | 55 - 74 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Virginia Union | W | 61 - 48 |
| 2026-02-02 | vs | Bluefield St. | W | 71 - 60 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Elizabeth City St. | W | 71 - 54 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Bluefield St. | W | 78 - 73 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruni Martinez | - | 1 | 39.0 | 17.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 8.0 | 72 | 4.8 | 37.1 | 57.1 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.98 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Maya Robinson | - | 1 | 27.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 29 | 2.4 | 21.9 | 75.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.28 | 77.0 | 75.0 |
| Kristian Harris | - | 1 | 38.0 | 12.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 12.0 | -126 | -7.4 | -40.2 | 38.5 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.93 | 43.2 | 38.5 |
| Malaka Cobb | - | 18 | 26.6 | 11.2 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 2.7 | 8.8 | 6.2 | 73 | 4.1 | 22.9 | 47.2 | 35.7 | 77.1 | 0.14 | 56.1 | 51.9 |
| Aiyana Ellis | - | 1 | 28.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 55.0 | 55.0 |
| Nhaikyia Smith | - | 1 | 35.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 38 | 1.7 | 18.2 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 2.68 | 34.2 | 25.0 |
| Mia Smith | - | 18 | 24.2 | 9.9 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 8.0 | 7.2 | 105 | 5.0 | 34.8 | 43.8 | 31.2 | 80.4 | 0.3 | 54.2 | 49.0 |
| Kristin Sterling | - | 18 | 19.2 | 7.4 | 5.3 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 5.9 | 8.6 | 78 | 3.7 | 34.5 | 38.7 | 28.6 | 89.3 | -0.41 | 51.3 | 39.6 |
| Afia Owusu-Mensah | - | 18 | 19.0 | 7.3 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 7.1 | 3.8 | 92 | 5.1 | 31.7 | 33.1 | 21.1 | 76.1 | 1.73 | 44.5 | 37.8 |
| Dashani Coleman | - | 1 | 31.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | -3.0 | 2 | 0.4 | 4.8 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 0 | -0.06 | 29.2 | 29.2 |
| Karimah Nix | - | 1 | 18.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 30 | 2.0 | 17.2 | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 2.49 | 104.2 | 100.0 |
| Maya Johnson | - | 1 | 31.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 42 | 2.1 | 24.0 | 11.1 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 2.63 | 25.8 | 11.1 |
| Hannah Wilkerson | - | 17 | 15.0 | 5.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 4.9 | 1.9 | -16 | -1.0 | -13.2 | 32.1 | 33.3 | 73.3 | -0.45 | 46.3 | 40.5 |
| Chaniya Taylor | - | 18 | 16.7 | 5.2 | 5.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 4.7 | 5.8 | 52 | 2.9 | 26.6 | 39.3 | 0.0 | 57.1 | 1.09 | 44.5 | 39.3 |
| Mayah Garner | - | 18 | 19.8 | 4.9 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 5.1 | 3.0 | 65 | 3.1 | 27.3 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 76.9 | 0.44 | 45.5 | 42.9 |
| Sydney Anthony | - | 18 | 16.2 | 4.2 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 2.9 | 5.1 | 3.5 | 54 | 2.6 | 28.1 | 29.7 | 25.0 | 71.4 | 2.58 | 36.8 | 30.8 |
| De'aisjah Somerville | - | 1 | 30.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | -3.0 | -12 | -0.9 | -24.0 | 18.2 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.18 | 18.2 | 18.2 |
| Shaima James Lewis | - | 1 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 135 | 6.1 | 40.2 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 1.64 | 46.3 | 33.3 |
| Calista Gaymon | - | 1 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 14.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 22.8 | 14.3 |
| Gabriella Clary | - | 17 | 14.8 | 3.4 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 4.1 | 2.1 | 37 | 1.8 | 22.2 | 27.5 | 13.3 | 89.5 | 2.84 | 36.8 | 29.0 |
| Taylor Timms | - | 16 | 8.2 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 45 | 2.8 | 49.5 | 22.2 | 23.1 | 88.0 | -1.51 | 37.7 | 25.0 |
| Ashley Gonzalez | - | 1 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 36 | 3.0 | 17.8 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.75 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Serenity Johnson | - | 1 | 25.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | -3.0 | -20 | -1.5 | -37.2 | 11.1 | 16.7 | 0 | -0.05 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Jayla Tucker | - | 5 | 6.4 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 22.2 | 40.0 | 80.0 | - | 52.2 | 33.3 |
| Jada Bouknight | - | 18 | 14.6 | 2.2 | 3.6 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 5.6 | 26 | 1.4 | 10.4 | 34.1 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 1.55 | 39.6 | 34.1 |
| Tanila Marshall | - | 1 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| JaiDen Anderson | - | 12 | 7.2 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 9 | 0.7 | 26.8 | 29.4 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -1.04 | 35.6 | 29.4 |
| Theresha Miller | - | 2 | 5.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | -9 | -3.0 | -24.8 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.06 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Nyla Coleman | - | 8 | 4.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.6 | -12 | -1.7 | -128.0 | 28.6 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.34 | 38.1 | 28.6 |
| Hailey Blackwell | - | 1 | 32.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 39 | 2.6 | 19.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.22 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ramsey Cureton | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12 | 0.7 | 8.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.94 | 0 | 0 |
| Nakeria Scales | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2 | -0.2 | -5.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.24 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG