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Bowie St.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016
Also known as: Bowie St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1173 (#67) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1079 (#118) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1096 (#75) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +4.9 (#124) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +6.4 (#258) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.535 (#135) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +10.6 More → 0.827 (#169) NetEff +10.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.9 More → 0.473 (#193) AdjNet -0.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.6 More → 0.482 (#194) AdjNet -0.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 63.4 More → 0.496 (#189) AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 63.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 56.8 More → 0.643 (#128) AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 56.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.667 (#217) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.674 (#204) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 21 More → 1132 (#87) RD 100 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-15 vs East Stroudsburg L 48 - 57
2025-11-16 vs Shepherd W 82 - 72
2025-11-22 @ Mansfield W 73 - 36
2025-11-24 vs Shippensburg W 83 - 54
2025-11-29 @ Dist. Columbia W 81 - 54
2025-12-01 @ Millersville W 70 - 45
2025-12-05 @ Shippensburg W 71 - 37
2025-12-13 vs Winston-Salem L 58 - 68
2025-12-15 vs Livingstone W 74 - 65
2025-12-20 @ Lynn W 73 - 63
2025-12-21 @ Palm Beach Atl. L 50 - 58
2026-01-03 vs Johnson C. Smith L 50 - 54
2026-01-10 @ Fayetteville St. L 53 - 65
2026-01-12 @ Shaw W 49 - 45
2026-01-17 @ Lincoln (PA) W 65 - 55
2026-01-21 @ Virginia St. L 55 - 74
2026-01-24 @ Virginia Union W 61 - 48
2026-02-02 vs Bluefield St. W 71 - 60
2026-02-05 @ Elizabeth City St. W 71 - 54
2026-02-07 @ Bluefield St. W 78 - 73
2026-02-11 vs Elizabeth City St. W 78 - 49
2026-02-14 vs Virginia Union W 67 - 64
2026-02-18 vs Virginia St. W 73 - 57
2026-02-21 vs Lincoln (PA) W 90 - 44
2026-02-25 vs Livingstone W 72 - 51
2026-02-27 vs Fayetteville St. L 46 - 49
2026-03-27 vs Central St. (OH) W 76 - 42
2026-03-28 vs Benedict L 62 - 66

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Malaka Cobb - 26 27.4 11.2 2.5 2.4 2.3 0.2 2.8 8.8 6.9 122 24 5.1 8.0 45.4 34.4 74.1 -1.27 54.8 50.2
Mia Smith - 26 26.2 11.0 3.7 1.7 2.1 0.7 2.3 9.4 7.5 180 24 7.5 11.8 42.4 32.9 79.1 2.32 52.3 47.8
Afia Owusu-Mensah - 23 18.8 7.7 2.7 1.0 0.9 0.1 1.5 7.4 3.5 100 21 4.8 10.8 33.3 26.2 77.8 1.3 45.4 39.5
Kristin Sterling - 26 19.9 6.9 5.4 0.9 1.9 0.8 1.5 5.7 8.7 149 24 6.2 12.8 36.5 26.7 89.3 3.25 49.4 37.8
Mayah Garner - 26 20.5 5.8 3.8 0.5 0.6 0.5 1.5 5.7 4.0 107 24 4.5 9.1 44.3 25.0 62.1 -0.88 46.7 44.6
Chaniya Taylor - 26 16.9 5.1 5.3 0.5 0.8 0.6 1.6 4.5 6.2 48 24 2.0 4.9 39.3 0.0 56.2 -0.72 44.6 39.3
Sydney Anthony - 26 17.9 5.0 3.8 1.9 1.8 0.1 2.9 5.6 4.2 81 24 3.4 8.0 30.1 14.3 73.6 -0.73 38.1 30.8
Hannah Wilkerson - 19 13.5 4.9 1.5 0.3 0.7 0.1 1.3 4.5 1.7 -40 17 -2.4 -6.9 32.6 34.1 73.3 -4.47 46.9 41.3
Taylor Timms - 24 7.9 3.5 0.9 0.2 0.8 0.0 0.9 3.5 1.0 74 22 3.4 15.2 27.4 22.7 77.3 1.63 41.1 30.4
Gabriella Clary - 25 14.7 3.3 2.0 0.9 0.9 0.1 1.2 3.9 2.1 101 23 4.4 11.8 27.8 25.0 72.4 3.56 37.4 31.4
Jada Bouknight - 26 15.0 3.1 4.1 0.3 0.7 2.3 0.8 3.0 6.6 68 24 2.8 7.6 41.0 0.0 70.8 -0.47 45.7 41.0
Jayla Tucker - 5 6.4 2.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.4 1.8 2.0 - - - - 22.2 40.0 80.0 -2.36 52.2 33.3
JaiDen Anderson - 16 6.6 1.3 1.9 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.1 18 14 1.3 6.3 31.8 20.0 75.0 -3.1 41.1 34.1
Nyla Coleman - 14 5.3 1.0 0.8 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.5 6 11 0.5 3.9 31.2 0.0 80.0 -3.87 38.5 31.2
Theresha Miller - 4 2.6 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.0 - - - - 100.0 0 0 -1.41 100.0 100.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG