Bowdoin
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1149 (#27) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1319 (#12) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1280 (#6) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +14.8 (#62) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +19.4 (#120) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.969 (#177) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.976 (#107) | NetEff +26.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.990 (#111) | AdjNet +39.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.990 (#120) | AdjNet +39.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.882 (#130) | AdjO 69.5 | AdjD 47.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.856 (#33) | AdjO 67.8 | AdjD 48.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.932 (#45) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.930 (#36) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1444 (#6) | RD 111 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Gordon | W | 81 - 44 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Saint Joseph (CT) | W | 66 - 25 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Me.-Presque Isle | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Skidmore | W | 68 - 46 |
| 2025-11-24 | @ | Union (NY) | W | 68 - 56 |
| 2025-12-09 | @ | Hartford | W | 62 - 48 |
| 2025-12-12 | @ | Maine Maritime | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2025-12-29 | vs | Vassar | W | 64 - 44 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Calvin | L | 51 - 61 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Connecticut Col. | W | 67 - 43 |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | WPI | W | 62 - 43 |
| 2026-01-16 | vs | Bates | W | 62 - 49 |
| 2026-01-20 | @ | Husson | W | 74 - 46 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Colby | W | 61 - 59 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Hamilton | W | 59 - 50 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Amherst | W | 57 - 52 |
| 2026-02-06 | @ | Middlebury | W | 75 - 47 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Williams | W | 64 - 51 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbie Quinn | - | 16 | 24.7 | 14.7 | 5.2 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 10.8 | 9.6 | 132 | 6.9 | 41.9 | 53.5 | 0.0 | 71.8 | 0.22 | 57.8 | 53.5 |
| Grace Kinum | - | 16 | 28.2 | 13.1 | 6.5 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 10.8 | 13.2 | 138 | 7.3 | 38.4 | 48.6 | 29.4 | 77.5 | 1.74 | 54.8 | 51.4 |
| Addison Forry | - | 1 | 21.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 226 | 10.8 | 76.3 | 71.4 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 3.17 | 80.6 | 85.7 |
| Grace Huntwork | - | 1 | 21.1 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 57 | 2.5 | 26.8 | 66.7 | 75.0 | 0 | -0.61 | 91.7 | 91.7 |
| Carly Davey | - | 11 | 24.6 | 9.6 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 6.9 | 7.1 | 95 | 7.3 | 313.2 | 46.1 | 43.6 | 82.6 | 0.59 | 61.5 | 57.2 |
| Maria Belardi | - | 16 | 23.7 | 7.8 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 8.7 | 5.1 | 172 | 9.1 | 49.4 | 33.1 | 26.1 | 45.0 | 2.11 | 42.3 | 41.7 |
| Evelyn Dagan | - | 1 | 22.6 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 205 | 8.9 | 67.2 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -0.29 | 71.7 | 75.0 |
| Hailey Blanchard | - | 1 | 24.8 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 246 | 10.7 | 72.6 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 1.41 | 43.6 | 33.3 |
| Payton Collins | - | 16 | 14.4 | 5.1 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 50 | 2.6 | 19.5 | 42.4 | 38.9 | 100.0 | 1.87 | 59.8 | 58.3 |
| Jamie Yue | - | 15 | 24.5 | 4.7 | 3.9 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 3.8 | 8.2 | 113 | 6.3 | 36.5 | 45.6 | 41.4 | 70.0 | 1.87 | 57.8 | 56.1 |
| Jacquelin Castro | - | 1 | 19.4 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 75 | 3.3 | 37.5 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.84 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Melissa Leone | - | 16 | 14.9 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 40 | 2.1 | 16.1 | 39.7 | 25.0 | 75.0 | -0.31 | 46.6 | 44.4 |
| Rylee Smith | - | 1 | 9.1 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 45 | 2.2 | 32.4 | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 4.06 | 52.1 | 50.0 |
| Katherine Garr | - | 16 | 10.9 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 59 | 3.1 | 28.0 | 31.9 | 31.2 | 0 | 2.91 | 42.6 | 42.6 |
| Rachel Storey | - | 16 | 18.6 | 2.3 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 155 | 8.2 | 78.3 | 28.3 | 5.0 | 50.0 | 2.01 | 30.0 | 29.2 |
| Savannah Ferguson | - | 1 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | -3.0 | 178 | 8.5 | 80.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 3.75 | 17.0 | 0.0 |
| Sydney Loring | - | 1 | 15.6 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | 188 | 8.2 | 72.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 2.51 | 25.8 | 0.0 |
| Laney Lyle | - | 1 | 18.6 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 140 | 6.4 | 59.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.79 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Morgan Clifford | - | 1 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 97 | 4.4 | 71.6 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | 1.47 | 113.6 | 0 |
| Starlette Franklin | - | 13 | 8.6 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 21 | 1.4 | 35.2 | 30.6 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.78 | 31.2 | 30.6 |
| Maddie Wilkin | - | 15 | 10.2 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 27 | 1.5 | 19.1 | 34.5 | 23.1 | 40.0 | 1.62 | 40.1 | 39.7 |
| Darby Chhabria | - | 12 | 5.0 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 20 | 1.4 | 59.9 | 33.3 | 22.2 | 25.0 | -0.96 | 37.3 | 38.1 |
| Kate Saccaro | - | 11 | 6.4 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 15 | 1.2 | 27.4 | 23.1 | 23.1 | 50.0 | 1.38 | 36.0 | 34.6 |
| Addison Ivery | - | 1 | 23.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 46 | 2.4 | 24.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.97 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Cali Pomerleau | - | 1 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 61 | 3.8 | 48.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.27 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG