Boston University
Model Outputs
1995-1996
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1097 (#98) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1054 (#109) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1092 (#49) | HCA +97 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +1.3 (#136) | HCA +3.6 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +3.8 (#113) | HCA +3.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.634 (#89) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.519 (#146) | AdjNet +0.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.518 (#147) | AdjNet +0.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.531 (#133) | AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 65.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.586 (#84) | AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 65.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.592 (#109) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.603 (#97) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1047 (#109) | RD 135 | GP 29 |
1996 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1995-11-25 | @ | Rider | L | 62 - 64 |
| 1995-11-30 | vs | Holy Cross | L | 54 - 57 |
| 1995-12-08 | @ | Maine | L | 60 - 62 |
| 1995-12-10 | vs | New Hampshire | W | 70 - 67 |
| 1995-12-13 | vs | UMBC | W | 70 - 56 |
| 1995-12-21 | vs | Harvard | W | 72 - 60 |
| 1995-12-23 | @ | Providence | L | 74 - 80 |
| 1995-12-28 | N | Pepperdine | W | 75 - 61 |
| 1995-12-29 | @ | New Mexico | L | 83 - 95 |
| 1996-01-04 | @ | Hartford | W | 75 - 68 |
| 1996-01-06 | vs | Vermont | W | 69 - 55 |
| 1996-01-09 | @ | NC State | L | 68 - 78 |
| 1996-01-11 | @ | Delaware | L | 50 - 62 |
| 1996-01-13 | @ | Towson | L | 71 - 93 |
| 1996-01-18 | vs | Hofstra | W | 73 - 61 |
| 1996-01-20 | vs | Drexel | L | 47 - 67 |
| 1996-01-23 | vs | Northeastern | W | 63 - 59 |
| 1996-01-26 | @ | Drexel | W | 76 - 74 |
| 1996-01-28 | @ | Hofstra | W | 86 - 71 |
| 1996-02-01 | vs | Delaware | W | 82 - 75 |
| 1996-02-04 | vs | Towson | W | 68 - 56 |
| 1996-02-08 | vs | Hartford | W | 79 - 65 |
| 1996-02-10 | @ | Vermont | L | 72 - 75 |
| 1996-02-17 | @ | Northeastern | W | 77 - 56 |
| 1996-02-22 | vs | Maine | W | 79 - 62 |
| 1996-02-24 | @ | New Hampshire | W | 80 - 69 |
| 1996-03-02 | N | Northeastern | W | 69 - 54 |
| 1996-03-03 | N | Maine | W | 66 - 64 |
| 1996-03-07 | @ | Drexel | L | 67 - 76 |
1996 Roster
No roster data available for this season.