Boston University
Model Outputs
2006-2007
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 875 (#227) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 931 (#210) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 958 (#225) | HCA +118 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -2.5 (#194) | HCA +3.6 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -3.2 (#201) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.502 (#163) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.383 (#195) | AdjNet -4.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.383 (#195) | AdjNet -4.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.453 (#189) | AdjO 58.6 | AdjD 60.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.474 (#180) | AdjO 60.4 | AdjD 61.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.402 (#202) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.406 (#201) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 893 (#231) | RD 143 | GP 30 |
2007 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006-11-10 | vs | George Washington Colonials | L | 57 - 70 |
| 2006-11-14 | @ | Harvard Crimson | W | 78 - 74 |
| 2006-11-18 | vs | Rider Broncs | L | 60 - 66 |
| 2006-11-21 | @ | Northeastern Huskies | L | 54 - 73 |
| 2006-11-25 | @ | Manhattan Jaspers | W | 74 - 65 |
| 2006-11-27 | @ | Saint Joseph's Hawks | L | 39 - 55 |
| 2006-12-02 | @ | St. Bonaventure Bonnies | W | 74 - 46 |
| 2006-12-06 | vs | UMass Minutemen | L | 54 - 56 |
| 2006-12-22 | @ | Rhode Island Rams | L | 51 - 65 |
| 2006-12-28 | @ | St. John's Red Storm | L | 44 - 45 |
| 2006-12-29 | @ | Saint Joseph's Hawks | L | 53 - 58 |
| 2007-01-03 | vs | Holy Cross Crusaders | L | 70 - 73 |
| 2007-01-06 | @ | Hartford Hawks | L | 75 - 80 |
| 2007-01-09 | vs | Maine Black Bears | W | 65 - 63 |
| 2007-01-11 | @ | Binghamton Bearcats | W | 61 - 49 |
| 2007-01-13 | vs | New Hampshire Wildcats | W | 53 - 29 |
| 2007-01-18 | @ | Stony Brook Seawolves | L | 62 - 68 |
| 2007-01-21 | vs | UMBC Retrievers | W | 59 - 53 |
| 2007-01-24 | vs | Albany Great Danes | L | 50 - 52 |
| 2007-01-31 | @ | Maine Black Bears | W | 66 - 55 |
| 2007-02-03 | vs | Hartford Hawks | W | 59 - 51 |
| 2007-02-05 | @ | Vermont Catamounts | L | 63 - 72 |
| 2007-02-08 | vs | Binghamton Bearcats | W | 66 - 54 |
| 2007-02-11 | @ | New Hampshire Wildcats | L | 55 - 60 |
| 2007-02-15 | vs | Stony Brook Seawolves | W | 68 - 55 |
| 2007-02-18 | @ | UMBC Retrievers | L | 63 - 67 |
| 2007-02-22 | vs | Vermont Catamounts | L | 55 - 57 |
| 2007-02-25 | @ | Albany Great Danes | L | 63 - 73 |
| 2007-03-03 | vs | Binghamton Bearcats | W | 62 - 58 |
| 2007-03-04 | vs | Albany Great Danes | L | 49 - 59 |
2007 Roster
No roster data available for this season.