Bob Jones
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 996 (#389) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 936 (#446) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 941 (#615) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -15.1 (#316) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -18.5 (#665) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.536 (#441) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.125 (#608) | AdjNet -16.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.121 (#602) | AdjNet -17.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.236 (#618) | AdjO 74.3 | AdjD 87.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.339 (#639) | AdjO 76.2 | AdjD 83.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.233 (#636) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.254 (#630) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 791 (#567) | RD 224 | GP 5 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tostadas Pouncey | - | 5 | 33.8 | 19.2 | 3.6 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 14.8 | 10.2 | - | - | - | 48.6 | 44.0 | 81.2 | - | 59.2 | 56.1 |
| Devin Dean | - | 3 | 26.7 | 18.3 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 11.7 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 46.2 | 90.0 | - | 69.8 | 65.7 |
| Shad Vander Hart | - | 5 | 29.5 | 16.8 | 10.6 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 20.2 | - | - | - | 68.0 | 0.0 | 69.6 | - | 69.9 | 68.0 |
| Brandon Wilkins | - | 5 | 26.5 | 15.8 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 11.8 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 45.8 | 26.5 | 61.5 | - | 56.1 | 53.4 |
| Braxton Murray | - | 5 | 31.5 | 8.6 | 5.4 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 6.4 | 10.0 | 20 | 2.0 | 104.1 | 56.2 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.07 | 56.3 | 56.2 |
| Trevor Brunson | - | 5 | 27.6 | 7.4 | 1.8 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 7.8 | 5.8 | - | - | - | 35.9 | 33.3 | 33.3 | - | 45.9 | 46.2 |
| Dillon Harris | - | 4 | 6.7 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 2.8 | -34 | -3.1 | -10.2 | 58.3 | 0 | 60.0 | 0.68 | 59.9 | 58.3 |
| Conner Barfield | - | 5 | 9.1 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 40.0 | 66.7 | - | 60.1 | 55.6 |
| Trevor Pittman | - | 5 | 6.4 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 36.4 | 42.9 | 50.0 | -0.55 | 50.5 | 50.0 |
| Drew Cannon | - | 5 | 12.9 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 1.8 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 23.7 | 25.0 |
| Josh Dorsey | - | 2 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Devin Pope | - | 2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Justin Skelton | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Amar Maccius | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG