🐻⬇️🏀

Bluffton

Season: 2026 2016
Also known as: Bluffton
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 963 (#303) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 989 (#340) HCA +95 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -24.7 (#551) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.002 (#709) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -21.0 More → 0.081 (#636) AdjNet -21.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -20.8 More → 0.078 (#641) AdjNet -20.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.2 | AdjD 99.4 More → 0.108 (#700) AdjO 76.2 | AdjD 99.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 83.2 More → 0.302 (#543) AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 83.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.197 (#532) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.227 (#525) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 944 (#282) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-28 @ Findlay L 73 - 123

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
JD Stokes - 1 18.9 11.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 7.0 12.0 - - - 71.4 50.0 0 - 78.6 78.6
Matt Ray - 1 16.6 7.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 2.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 100.0 - 47.8 33.3
Nevin Robson - 1 16.5 6.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 7.0 -2.0 - - - 42.9 0.0 0.0 - 40.3 42.9
William Layfield - 1 15.3 5.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 4.0 - - - 33.3 33.3 0 - 41.7 41.7
Ian Snelling - 1 12.8 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 - - - 66.7 50.0 0 - 83.3 83.3
Andre Dowdy - 1 7.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 100.0 - 51.5 33.3
Andre Irvin - 1 11.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 50.0 - 30.7 25.0
Memphis Jackson - 1 3.6 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 54 2.2 10.3 25.0 33.3 0 1.56 37.5 37.5
Drayton Myers - 1 5.2 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 - - - 33.3 50.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Justice Thompson - 1 11.2 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 -4.0 -16 -0.9 -8.0 16.7 25.0 0 0.37 25.0 25.0
Carson Clum - 1 17.7 2.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 4.0 -1.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Caden Granger - 1 3.6 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Brendan Williams - 1 7.5 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 -4.0 87 4.1 30.2 20.0 0.0 0.0 0.86 18.4 20.0
Jaxon Foster - 1 11.4 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Taran Longwood - 1 7.6 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Jayden Ponder - 1 11.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 -3.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Jacob Windy - 1 7.9 0.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG