Bloomsburg
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1033 (#161) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1023 (#242) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 950 (#555) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -3.2 (#208) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -2.8 (#407) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.345 (#427) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.981 (#88) | NetEff +31.2 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.254 (#345) | NetEff -8.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.363 (#455) | AdjNet -4.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.369 (#453) | AdjNet -4.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.443 (#449) | AdjO 62.2 | AdjD 64.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.431 (#494) | AdjO 56.5 | AdjD 59.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.388 (#459) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.393 (#455) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 963 (#296) | RD 93 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | @ | Delaware | L | 59 - 83 |
| 2025-11-06 | @ | Binghamton | L | 44 - 92 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | West Va. Wesleyan | W | 70 - 67 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Frostburg St. | W | 69 - 63 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Georgian Court | W | 63 - 50 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Fairmont St. | L | 60 - 78 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Lincoln (PA) | W | 71 - 41 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | California (PA) | L | 59 - 70 |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Pitt.-Johnstown | W | 68 - 62 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Indiana (PA) | L | 46 - 63 |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | Seton Hill | L | 49 - 85 |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Jefferson | L | 33 - 55 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Slippery Rock | W | 65 - 57 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Edinboro | L | 38 - 60 |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | East Stroudsburg | W | 71 - 68 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | West Chester | W | 63 - 57 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Kutztown | L | 34 - 44 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Mansfield | W | 76 - 51 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Millersville | L | 55 - 61 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Shepherd | L | 51 - 56 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Shippensburg | W | 63 - 51 |
| 2026-02-02 | @ | Lock Haven | L | 56 - 70 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | East Stroudsburg | L | 73 - 76 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alison Hatajik | - | 23 | 26.6 | 10.5 | 7.2 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 8.4 | 10.7 | 16 | 0.8 | 3.4 | 53.6 | 75.0 | 66.7 | 0.14 | 56.4 | 54.4 |
| Kelly Leszcynski | - | 21 | 29.4 | 8.3 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 7.3 | -7 | -0.3 | -1.4 | 37.8 | 28.8 | 86.8 | 0.21 | 51.1 | 43.6 |
| Maddison Maynard | - | 23 | 22.2 | 8.1 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 7.7 | 6.5 | -48 | -2.1 | -11.3 | 39.8 | 35.7 | 60.9 | 0.67 | 45.3 | 41.2 |
| Leah Kale | - | 21 | 26.8 | 7.2 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 7.1 | 3.8 | 45 | 2.4 | 7.3 | 36.7 | 31.2 | 61.8 | 1.08 | 45.8 | 43.3 |
| Maddie LaFrance | - | 23 | 26.0 | 7.1 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 7.5 | 3.0 | -8 | -0.4 | -1.7 | 32.9 | 29.0 | 73.7 | 1.75 | 45.2 | 43.4 |
| Ava Stevenson | - | 23 | 26.8 | 6.1 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 3.3 | 7.2 | 1.5 | -12 | -0.5 | -2.8 | 27.1 | 21.8 | 82.1 | -0.63 | 38.5 | 32.8 |
| Alexis Ferguson | - | 23 | 18.4 | 5.7 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 4.5 | 4.9 | -46 | -2.3 | -12.7 | 55.3 | 0.0 | 44.4 | 2.62 | 54.7 | 55.3 |
| Akasha Santos | - | 7 | 11.3 | 4.0 | 3.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 2.7 | 4.1 | - | - | - | 57.9 | 0 | 75.0 | - | 62.2 | 57.9 |
| Lily Milewski | - | 1 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Sophia Shults | - | 16 | 9.3 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 1.6 | -21 | -1.4 | -15.2 | 30.6 | 33.3 | 69.2 | -0.78 | 43.2 | 31.9 |
| Olivia Selverian | - | 22 | 9.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 1.0 | -34 | -1.7 | -30.6 | 31.2 | 0.0 | 76.5 | -2.79 | 38.8 | 31.2 |
| Piper McGinley | - | 6 | 7.4 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 40.0 | 100.0 | - | 63.5 | 57.1 |
| Carleigh Anderson | - | 7 | 5.5 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.3 | -14 | -2.3 | -69.0 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 40.0 | -2.07 | 36.6 | 33.3 |
| Diamond Thornton | - | 3 | 5.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Kalleigh Nerone | - | 17 | 5.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 0.8 | -0.5 | -40 | -2.9 | -130.4 | 35.7 | 0 | 50.0 | 1.12 | 37.0 | 35.7 |
| Mackenzie Creighton | - | 4 | 3.7 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.2 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 113.6 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG