Bloomsburg
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 927 (#354) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 850 (#501) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 880 (#546) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -16.1 (#302) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -13.6 (#490) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.105 (#524) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.233 (#269) | NetEff -10.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.123 (#600) | AdjNet -17.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.121 (#603) | AdjNet -16.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.237 (#601) | AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 82.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.232 (#573) | AdjO 59.2 | AdjD 72.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.200 (#529) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.202 (#536) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 847 (#424) | RD 99 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Fairmont St. | L | 56 - 98 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Salem (WV) | L | 55 - 68 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Georgian Court | L | 65 - 69 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Penn St.-Scranton | W | 86 - 45 |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Penn St.-Hazleton | W | 78 - 54 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | St. Bonaventure | L | 43 - 83 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | California (PA) | L | 52 - 72 |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Pitt.-Johnstown | L | 71 - 99 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Indiana (PA) | L | 55 - 87 |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | Seton Hill | L | 70 - 104 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Slippery Rock | L | 54 - 72 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Edinboro | L | 71 - 81 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Shippensburg | W | 71 - 67 |
| 2026-01-09 | vs | Cheyney | W | 73 - 67 |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | East Stroudsburg | L | 70 - 106 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | West Chester | L | 55 - 88 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Kutztown | L | 47 - 79 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Mansfield | W | 72 - 61 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Millersville | L | 53 - 78 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Shepherd | L | 54 - 65 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Shippensburg | L | 45 - 62 |
| 2026-02-02 | @ | Lock Haven | W | 68 - 67 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | East Stroudsburg | L | 60 - 82 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ries Naugle | - | 22 | 31.4 | 11.8 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 9.9 | 6.6 | -143 | -7.2 | -45.2 | 44.0 | 36.4 | 82.4 | -2.11 | 55.8 | 53.2 |
| Courtney Davis II | - | 23 | 25.6 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 6.7 | 3.1 | -129 | -5.9 | -52.1 | 29.4 | 15.8 | 75.6 | -0.15 | 42.2 | 31.4 |
| Kodi Johnson | - | 23 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 3.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 6.0 | 4.3 | -87 | -4.1 | -49.1 | 37.4 | 29.5 | 84.4 | -1.56 | 50.4 | 43.9 |
| Chase Smucker | - | 23 | 21.4 | 6.2 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 5.0 | 3.2 | -106 | -4.8 | -36.2 | 36.5 | 35.2 | 87.1 | -2.73 | 55.2 | 50.0 |
| George Sabatini | - | 22 | 20.6 | 6.0 | 4.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 2.6 | 5.9 | 4.4 | -104 | -5.0 | -69.2 | 36.2 | 24.3 | 64.4 | 0.4 | 44.1 | 39.6 |
| Xion Nichols | - | 23 | 17.8 | 5.4 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 4.6 | 2.3 | -89 | -4.0 | -94.0 | 39.6 | 35.7 | 65.0 | -2.02 | 50.6 | 46.7 |
| Gabe Springer | - | 20 | 16.4 | 4.6 | 2.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 3.6 | 4.2 | -78 | -4.3 | -56.6 | 49.3 | 0 | 64.5 | -0.23 | 53.1 | 49.3 |
| Thaddeus Lee | - | 20 | 10.9 | 4.3 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 4.5 | 2.3 | -24 | -1.3 | -27.7 | 39.6 | 30.3 | 33.3 | 1.46 | 44.7 | 45.1 |
| Kaaba Murray | - | 22 | 9.8 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 2.7 | 1.9 | -53 | -2.5 | -51.6 | 44.1 | 47.8 | 66.7 | -0.28 | 55.6 | 53.4 |
| Winfield Young Jr | - | 21 | 13.7 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 2.9 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 44.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 45.8 | 44.3 |
| Sawyer Floyd | - | 16 | 5.8 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 6 | 0.4 | 12.4 | 40.0 | 30.0 | 92.9 | 0.42 | 61.2 | 47.5 |
| Camden Glass | - | 20 | 9.4 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 3.1 | -26 | -1.4 | -23.5 | 38.5 | 0 | 78.6 | -1.02 | 48.2 | 38.5 |
| Naeem Purnell-Northern | - | 19 | 8.2 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.2 | -0.3 | -8 | -0.5 | -14.8 | 26.8 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 1.82 | 35.8 | 34.1 |
| Tre Simpson | - | 16 | 5.5 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 17 | 1.2 | 40.8 | 23.5 | 0 | 76.9 | 2.14 | 39.6 | 23.5 |
| Joey Marshall | - | 18 | 6.4 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 1.2 | -10 | -0.6 | -26.9 | 20.8 | 18.8 | 50.0 | 0.22 | 31.7 | 27.1 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG