Blackburn
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 862 (#570) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 787 (#603) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 932 (#630) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -14.5 (#307) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -19.9 (#685) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.175 (#689) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.053 (#699) | AdjNet -24.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.049 (#700) | AdjNet -25.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.153 (#697) | AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 84.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.249 (#713) | AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 80.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.174 (#693) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.187 (#693) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 855 (#520) | RD 100 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Williams Baptist | L | 82 - 99 |
| 2025-11-11 | vs | Knox | L | 67 - 82 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Loras | L | 66 - 71 |
| 2025-11-16 | @ | Rhodes | L | 89 - 98 |
| 2025-11-20 | vs | Spurgeon | L | 85 - 98 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Beloit | L | 63 - 67 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Eureka | L | 77 - 80 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Webster | L | 55 - 95 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Principia | W | 83 - 59 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Emmaus | W | 95 - 63 |
| 2025-12-14 | @ | Monmouth (IL) | L | 66 - 76 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Illinois Col. | L | 74 - 81 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Eureka | W | 102 - 90 |
| 2026-01-08 | vs | Lyon | L | 67 - 78 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | MUW | L | 80 - 82 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Spalding | L | 54 - 60 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Westminster (MO) | W | 80 - 74 |
| 2026-01-18 | @ | Eastern Ill. | L | 49 - 105 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Greenville | L | 110 - 124 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Webster | L | 69 - 77 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Principia | W | 90 - 69 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | MUW | W | 59 - 58 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Lyon | W | 74 - 72 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxson Provost | - | 1 | 30.6 | 32.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 19.0 | 18.0 | -112 | -6.2 | -24.5 | 57.9 | 66.7 | 85.7 | -0.7 | 72.5 | 68.4 |
| Jaylen Jeter | - | 21 | 26.9 | 16.6 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 2.7 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 11.8 | 10.8 | 19 | 0.9 | 6.5 | 48.2 | 31.6 | 76.2 | -0.93 | 59.5 | 54.5 |
| Evan Jordan | - | 21 | 31.9 | 16.5 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 13.3 | 9.7 | 33 | 1.6 | 8.3 | 46.2 | 42.9 | 71.7 | 0.79 | 57.4 | 55.4 |
| Taiemm Comeaux | - | 1 | 13.0 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 8.0 | -25 | -1.6 | -49.2 | 46.2 | 28.6 | 100.0 | 0.05 | 57.6 | 53.8 |
| Tim Lofton | - | 1 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 11.0 | -29 | -1.4 | -17.9 | 58.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.92 | 58.2 | 58.3 |
| Andrew Coker | - | 1 | 30.5 | 12.0 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 19.0 | -3 | -0.4 | -0.8 | 57.1 | 25.0 | 60.0 | 1.26 | 65.2 | 64.3 |
| Kamerin Carter | - | 19 | 23.6 | 11.2 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 11.1 | 3.0 | -18 | -1.0 | -7.7 | 39.8 | 33.7 | 64.0 | -0.31 | 47.7 | 46.4 |
| Ben Carter | - | 1 | 28.5 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | -139 | -7.3 | -32.9 | 57.1 | 40.0 | 50.0 | -0.45 | 69.8 | 71.4 |
| Jaylen Williams | - | 1 | 10.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 19.7 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.1 | 70.9 | 58.3 |
| Max Richardson | - | 1 | 25.9 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | -86 | -4.5 | -33.7 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 70.0 | -0.48 | 60.8 | 33.3 |
| Brandon Tully | - | 1 | 14.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | -17 | -0.8 | -25.5 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 0 | -1.75 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Elijah Goad | - | 1 | 11.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 9 | 0.5 | 4.9 | 37.5 | 28.6 | 0 | -0.81 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Payton Cook | - | 20 | 26.3 | 7.9 | 5.5 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 5.9 | 9.4 | 13 | 0.7 | 3.6 | 54.2 | 37.8 | 68.4 | 0.12 | 62.5 | 61.4 |
| Kcion Welch | - | 21 | 26.6 | 7.4 | 4.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 5.1 | 8.4 | 37 | 1.9 | 11.2 | 52.3 | 31.8 | 65.5 | 0.1 | 59.1 | 55.6 |
| Micah Bruer | - | 1 | 35.7 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | -179 | -8.9 | -45.8 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -2.63 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Travis Corey | - | 1 | 7.3 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 52.1 | 50.0 |
| Tahj Comeaux | - | 1 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 9 | 0.5 | 15.7 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.65 | 41.0 | 33.3 |
| Darius Duff | - | 21 | 17.2 | 4.0 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 5.9 | 51 | 2.7 | 42.1 | 46.8 | 50.0 | 62.1 | -1.45 | 57.9 | 51.1 |
| Newton Acevedo | - | 1 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | -38 | -2.0 | -46.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | 0.87 | 69.4 | 75.0 |
| Nick Cook | - | 6 | 13.7 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 3.3 | 2.8 | -59 | -9.8 | -87.2 | 35.0 | 0.0 | 58.3 | -1.23 | 41.5 | 35.0 |
| Camden Nelson | - | 19 | 10.2 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 3.4 | 0.6 | -30 | -1.7 | -38.9 | 29.7 | 28.6 | 71.4 | 0.01 | 44.0 | 42.2 |
| Cayden Paquette | - | 15 | 11.6 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 10 | 0.8 | 7.9 | 28.1 | 29.5 | 100.0 | -0.23 | 40.6 | 39.5 |
| Sheldon Grant II | - | 1 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | -47 | -2.4 | -84.2 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.73 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Jackson Gurgel | - | 1 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | -47 | -2.2 | -58.5 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | -1.56 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Caleb Johnson | - | 1 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | -46 | -1.7 | -85.6 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | -1.2 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Cameron Johnson | - | 7 | 7.2 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 20 | 2.2 | 51.7 | 35.3 | 33.3 | 75.0 | -0.42 | 50.6 | 47.1 |
| Ayson McLuskie | - | 7 | 9.3 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.6 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 60.5 | 60.7 |
| Bradyn Pieper | - | 14 | 7.8 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 23 | 1.8 | 26.7 | 44.8 | 35.0 | 66.7 | 1.01 | 58.5 | 56.9 |
| Victor McGill | - | 6 | 10.6 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.8 | -7 | -1.2 | -9.3 | 36.4 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 0.07 | 50.5 | 45.5 |
| Elliot Mobley | - | 1 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 19 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Ryan Lash | - | 6 | 5.6 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.2 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 100.0 | 50.0 | - | 90.2 | 100.0 |
| Cooper Carter | - | 8 | 5.8 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 0.4 | -11 | -1.6 | -46.4 | 25.0 | 30.0 | 0 | -1.51 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Jonah Lauff | - | 1 | 8.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -73 | -4.3 | -30.6 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.78 | 56.8 | 0 |
| Isaiah Goad | - | 1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Owen Walter | - | 17 | 13.1 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.5 | -43 | -2.7 | -23.2 | 23.5 | 0.0 | 55.6 | -1.37 | 31.0 | 23.5 |
| Cody Marcinko | - | 4 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | -1.5 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Colin DeLaere | - | 1 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -43 | -3.3 | -41.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.26 | 0 | 0 |
| Dylan Logsdon | - | 1 | 14.9 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | -140 | -7.8 | -254.9 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.21 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Blake Logsdon | - | 1 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -2.0 | -42 | -2.8 | -145.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.53 | 0 | 0 |
| Blake Horn | - | 4 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Dylan Rhodes | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -25 | -1.6 | -86.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 |
| Joseph Schreiber-Rivera | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.53 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG