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Blackburn

Also known as: Blackburn
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 862 (#570) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 787 (#603) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 932 (#630) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -14.5 (#307) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -19.9 (#685) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.175 (#689) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -24.9 More → 0.053 (#699) AdjNet -24.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -25.4 More → 0.049 (#700) AdjNet -25.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 84.0 More → 0.153 (#697) AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 84.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 80.5 More → 0.249 (#713) AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 80.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.174 (#693) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.187 (#693) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 23 More → 855 (#520) RD 100 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 vs Williams Baptist L 82 - 99
2025-11-11 vs Knox L 67 - 82
2025-11-14 vs Loras L 66 - 71
2025-11-16 @ Rhodes L 89 - 98
2025-11-20 vs Spurgeon L 85 - 98
2025-11-22 @ Beloit L 63 - 67
2025-11-25 @ Eureka L 77 - 80
2025-12-03 @ Webster L 55 - 95
2025-12-06 @ Principia W 83 - 59
2025-12-13 @ Emmaus W 95 - 63
2025-12-14 @ Monmouth (IL) L 66 - 76
2025-12-20 @ Illinois Col. L 74 - 81
2026-01-03 vs Eureka W 102 - 90
2026-01-08 vs Lyon L 67 - 78
2026-01-10 vs MUW L 80 - 82
2026-01-14 @ Spalding L 54 - 60
2026-01-17 vs Westminster (MO) W 80 - 74
2026-01-18 @ Eastern Ill. L 49 - 105
2026-01-21 @ Greenville L 110 - 124
2026-01-28 vs Webster L 69 - 77
2026-01-31 vs Principia W 90 - 69
2026-02-05 @ MUW W 59 - 58
2026-02-07 @ Lyon W 74 - 72

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jaxson Provost - 1 30.6 32.0 3.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 19.0 18.0 -112 -6.2 -24.5 57.9 66.7 85.7 -0.7 72.5 68.4
Jaylen Jeter - 21 26.9 16.6 3.2 1.6 2.7 0.1 1.6 11.8 10.8 19 0.9 6.5 48.2 31.6 76.2 -0.93 59.5 54.5
Evan Jordan - 21 31.9 16.5 4.5 1.7 2.0 0.2 1.9 13.3 9.7 33 1.6 8.3 46.2 42.9 71.7 0.79 57.4 55.4
Taiemm Comeaux - 1 13.0 16.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 13.0 8.0 -25 -1.6 -49.2 46.2 28.6 100.0 0.05 57.6 53.8
Tim Lofton - 1 10.0 15.0 7.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 12.0 11.0 -29 -1.4 -17.9 58.3 0.0 50.0 -1.92 58.2 58.3
Andrew Coker - 1 30.5 12.0 12.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 19.0 -3 -0.4 -0.8 57.1 25.0 60.0 1.26 65.2 64.3
Kamerin Carter - 19 23.6 11.2 2.6 1.8 0.8 0.0 2.2 11.1 3.0 -18 -1.0 -7.7 39.8 33.7 64.0 -0.31 47.7 46.4
Ben Carter - 1 28.5 11.0 9.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 7.0 12.0 -139 -7.3 -32.9 57.1 40.0 50.0 -0.45 69.8 71.4
Jaylen Williams - 1 10.0 11.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 10.0 1 0.1 19.7 50.0 50.0 100.0 0.1 70.9 58.3
Max Richardson - 1 25.9 9.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 11.0 -86 -4.5 -33.7 33.3 0.0 70.0 -0.48 60.8 33.3
Brandon Tully - 1 14.0 9.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 2.0 -17 -0.8 -25.5 25.0 25.0 0 -1.75 37.5 37.5
Elijah Goad - 1 11.0 8.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 1.0 9 0.5 4.9 37.5 28.6 0 -0.81 50.0 50.0
Payton Cook - 20 26.3 7.9 5.5 1.7 1.0 0.9 1.8 5.9 9.4 13 0.7 3.6 54.2 37.8 68.4 0.12 62.5 61.4
Kcion Welch - 21 26.6 7.4 4.7 1.2 1.0 0.8 1.5 5.1 8.4 37 1.9 11.2 52.3 31.8 65.5 0.1 59.1 55.6
Micah Bruer - 1 35.7 6.0 1.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 5.0 8.0 3.0 -179 -8.9 -45.8 25.0 33.3 0 -2.63 37.5 37.5
Travis Corey - 1 7.3 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 3.0 - - - 50.0 0 50.0 - 52.1 50.0
Tahj Comeaux - 1 11.0 6.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 6.0 9 0.5 15.7 33.3 0.0 66.7 0.65 41.0 33.3
Darius Duff - 21 17.2 4.0 2.4 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.5 2.2 5.9 51 2.7 42.1 46.8 50.0 62.1 -1.45 57.9 51.1
Newton Acevedo - 1 10.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 6.0 -38 -2.0 -46.0 50.0 100.0 50.0 0.87 69.4 75.0
Nick Cook - 6 13.7 3.5 2.8 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.2 3.3 2.8 -59 -9.8 -87.2 35.0 0.0 58.3 -1.23 41.5 35.0
Camden Nelson - 19 10.2 3.1 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.4 3.4 0.6 -30 -1.7 -38.9 29.7 28.6 71.4 0.01 44.0 42.2
Cayden Paquette - 15 11.6 3.1 2.0 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.6 3.8 1.4 10 0.8 7.9 28.1 29.5 100.0 -0.23 40.6 39.5
Sheldon Grant II - 1 13.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 2.0 -47 -2.4 -84.2 25.0 50.0 0 -1.73 37.5 37.5
Jackson Gurgel - 1 16.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 -47 -2.2 -58.5 33.3 33.3 0 -1.56 50.0 50.0
Caleb Johnson - 1 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 -46 -1.7 -85.6 33.3 33.3 0 -1.2 50.0 50.0
Cameron Johnson - 7 7.2 2.7 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.3 2.4 1.1 20 2.2 51.7 35.3 33.3 75.0 -0.42 50.6 47.1
Ayson McLuskie - 7 9.3 2.6 1.1 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.0 1.6 - - - 42.9 50.0 50.0 - 60.5 60.7
Bradyn Pieper - 14 7.8 2.6 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 2.1 1.1 23 1.8 26.7 44.8 35.0 66.7 1.01 58.5 56.9
Victor McGill - 6 10.6 2.0 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.2 1.2 1.8 1.8 -7 -1.2 -9.3 36.4 66.7 100.0 0.07 50.5 45.5
Elliot Mobley - 1 11.0 2.0 0.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 6.0 19 1.0 11.0 33.3 0 0 -0.0 33.3 33.3
Ryan Lash - 6 5.6 1.2 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.2 - - - 66.7 100.0 50.0 - 90.2 100.0
Cooper Carter - 8 5.8 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.5 0.4 -11 -1.6 -46.4 25.0 30.0 0 -1.51 37.5 37.5
Jonah Lauff - 1 8.8 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 -73 -4.3 -30.6 0 0 50.0 -0.78 56.8 0
Isaiah Goad - 1 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0 50.0 - 26.6 0.0
Owen Walter - 17 13.1 0.8 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.7 1.0 1.5 -43 -2.7 -23.2 23.5 0.0 55.6 -1.37 31.0 23.5
Cody Marcinko - 4 3.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 -1.5 - - - 16.7 0.0 0 - 16.7 16.7
Colin DeLaere - 1 4.1 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 -43 -3.3 -41.1 0 0 0 -0.26 0 0
Dylan Logsdon - 1 14.9 0.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 -140 -7.8 -254.9 0 0 0.0 -1.21 0.0 0
Blake Logsdon - 1 2.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -2.0 -42 -2.8 -145.9 0 0 0 -0.53 0 0
Blake Horn - 4 2.8 0.0 1.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Dylan Rhodes - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -25 -1.6 -86.5 0 0 0 0.14 0 0
Joseph Schreiber-Rivera - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1 -0.1 -1.0 0 0 0 -0.53 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG