Birmingham-Southern
Model Outputs
2021-2022
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 944 (#582) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 920 (#636) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 997 (#304) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -2.8 (#534) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +0.9 (#341) | HCA +2.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.497 (#243) | AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 69.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.505 (#314) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.501 (#301) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 920 (#392) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-09 | @ | Lipscomb Bisons | L | 98 - 105 |
2022 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
C. Stewart
|
- | 1 | 26.0 | 28.0 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 42.0 | 46 | 1.4 | 4.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 |
J. Gillispie
|
- | 1 | 20.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
L. Touliatos
|
- | 1 | 16.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
J. Williams
|
- | 1 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | -84 | -3.4 | -4.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.24 | 0 | 0 |
Martise Jackson
|
G | 1 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | -9 | -0.3 | -0.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.78 | 0 | 0 |
J. Childers
|
- | 1 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
E. Sigler
|
- | 1 | 22.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
T. Shulman
|
G | 1 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.15 | 0 | 0 |
P. Fitzgerald
|
- | 1 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
C. Glover
|
- | 1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 |
B. Davis
|
- | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 22 | 1.6 | 21.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.32 | 0 | 0 |
B. Garrido
|
- | 1 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
N. Dean
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
K. Green
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -0.07 | - | - |
T. Andrews
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
S. Spence
|
- | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
T. Stephens
|
- | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
D. Kane
|
- | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG