Birmingham Squadron
Model Outputs
2016-2017
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 804 (#19) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 843 (#20) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -6.1 (#22) | HCA +1.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.308 (#21) | - |
2017 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-11-12 | vs | WCB | W | 108 - 105 |
| 2016-11-17 | @ | OKL | L | 87 - 93 |
| 2016-11-19 | @ | AUS | L | 106 - 109 |
| 2016-11-20 | @ | RGV | L | 80 - 108 |
| 2016-11-25 | @ | GBO | L | 88 - 109 |
| 2016-11-26 | @ | GBO | L | 95 - 96 |
| 2016-12-01 | vs | MNE | L | 91 - 101 |
| 2016-12-03 | vs | WES | L | 103 - 105 |
| 2016-12-07 | @ | LIN | W | 114 - 105 |
| 2016-12-09 | vs | TEX | L | 101 - 111 |
| 2016-12-10 | @ | CTN | L | 90 - 100 |
| 2016-12-15 | vs | LAD | W | 118 - 99 |
| 2016-12-16 | @ | GRD | L | 88 - 116 |
| 2016-12-18 | @ | MNE | W | 108 - 104 |
| 2016-12-23 | vs | SCW | L | 76 - 102 |
| 2016-12-27 | vs | MNE | W | 101 - 98 |
| 2016-12-30 | vs | CTN | L | 106 - 123 |
| 2017-01-02 | @ | RAP | W | 99 - 95 |
| 2017-01-04 | @ | LIN | L | 107 - 114 |
| 2017-01-06 | @ | DEL | L | 105 - 129 |
| 2017-01-07 | vs | LIN | L | 90 - 108 |
| 2017-01-11 | vs | WCB | L | 97 - 108 |
| 2017-01-13 | @ | SXF | W | 125 - 118 |
| 2017-01-18 | vs | GBO | L | 102 - 109 |
| 2017-01-20 | @ | WES | L | 114 - 118 |
| 2017-01-25 | vs | FWN | L | 111 - 114 |
| 2017-01-27 | vs | LIN | L | 96 - 110 |
| 2017-01-28 | @ | WCB | L | 100 - 113 |
| 2017-02-02 | @ | FWN | L | 125 - 132 |
| 2017-02-04 | vs | CTN | W | 121 - 108 |
| 2017-02-07 | vs | GBO | W | 91 - 90 |
| 2017-02-09 | vs | RNO | W | 108 - 104 |
| 2017-02-10 | @ | GRD | L | 102 - 105 |
| 2017-02-12 | @ | FWN | W | 102 - 100 |
| 2017-02-23 | @ | RAP | L | 108 - 129 |
| 2017-02-25 | vs | FWN | L | 108 - 110 |
| 2017-02-26 | @ | WES | L | 91 - 101 |
| 2017-03-03 | @ | DEL | L | 126 - 132 |
| 2017-03-05 | vs | DEL | L | 103 - 123 |
| 2017-03-10 | vs | GRD | L | 98 - 119 |
| 2017-03-11 | vs | GRD | W | 117 - 111 |
| 2017-03-14 | @ | CTN | L | 102 - 113 |
| 2017-03-15 | vs | SLC | W | 86 - 77 |
| 2017-03-17 | @ | MNE | L | 90 - 101 |
| 2017-03-19 | vs | WES | L | 104 - 116 |
| 2017-03-24 | vs | RAP | L | 92 - 97 |
| 2017-03-25 | vs | RAP | L | 69 - 85 |
| 2017-03-28 | @ | WCB | L | 92 - 101 |
| 2017-03-30 | @ | IWA | L | 111 - 116 |
| 2017-04-01 | vs | DEL | W | 115 - 78 |
2017 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Brown | G | 24 | 0.0 | 20.3 | 5.4 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 3.2 | 14.8 | 12.1 | - | - | - | 46.6 | 46.7 | 80.8 | - | 59.7 | 54.7 |
| Kalin Lucas | G | 34 | 0.0 | 18.5 | 3.9 | 5.1 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 14.3 | 11.9 | - | - | - | 45.8 | 40.4 | 86.7 | - | 56.4 | 50.1 |
| Gabe York | G | 44 | 0.0 | 15.8 | 4.2 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 13.0 | 10.4 | - | - | - | 43.6 | 36.1 | 83.7 | - | 56.0 | 52.9 |
| TJ Price | G | 49 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 11.8 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 42.7 | 35.6 | 86.2 | - | 53.4 | 48.5 |
| Stefan Jankovic | F | 9 | 0.0 | 13.6 | 6.4 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 10.7 | 9.7 | - | - | - | 47.9 | 33.3 | 81.5 | - | 56.5 | 52.1 |
| Stephen Zimmerman | G | 21 | 0.0 | 13.4 | 8.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 11.5 | 12.5 | - | - | - | 48.5 | 0.0 | 61.8 | - | 51.2 | 48.5 |
| Branden Dawson | F | 33 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 7.1 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 11.7 | 10.5 | - | - | - | 49.4 | 0.0 | 53.3 | - | 50.4 | 49.4 |
| C.J. Wilcox | F | 4 | 0.0 | 12.5 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 9.8 | 9.2 | - | - | - | 51.3 | 42.9 | 50.0 | - | 62.7 | 62.8 |
| Shevon Thompson | C | 17 | 0.0 | 12.1 | 7.5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 9.2 | 9.5 | - | - | - | 55.8 | 0 | 66.7 | - | 58.2 | 55.8 |
| Cliff Alexander | F | 22 | 0.0 | 11.9 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 2.5 | 10.7 | 9.1 | - | - | - | 45.5 | 0.0 | 70.6 | - | 49.4 | 45.5 |
| Ramon Galloway | G | 21 | 0.0 | 9.8 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 9.2 | 5.6 | - | - | - | 39.2 | 23.5 | 77.6 | - | 47.8 | 43.3 |
| Alex Davis | G | 28 | 0.0 | 8.1 | 4.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 6.3 | 7.8 | - | - | - | 46.0 | 44.0 | 65.9 | - | 53.5 | 49.1 |
| Robert Vaden | F | 21 | 0.0 | 7.9 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 7.5 | 4.8 | - | - | - | 38.2 | 36.3 | 90.0 | - | 51.4 | 50.0 |
| Joe Thomasson | - | 3 | 0.0 | 6.3 | 3.3 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4.7 | 7.7 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 60.0 | 0 | - | 67.9 | 67.9 |
| John Petrucelli | G | 32 | 0.0 | 5.6 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 5.7 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 32.1 | 73.2 | - | 52.8 | 47.6 |
| Lewis Jackson | G | 6 | 0.0 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 5.5 | - | - | - | 58.3 | 0.0 | 71.4 | - | 60.9 | 58.3 |
| Michael Lyons | G | 41 | 0.0 | 5.2 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 4.9 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 37.8 | 33.9 | 71.0 | - | 49.6 | 47.5 |
| Bruce Massey | - | 2 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 50.6 | 44.4 |
| Brandis Raley-Ross | G | 8 | 0.0 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 3.6 | - | - | - | 46.4 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 56.3 | 53.6 |
| Paris Bass | - | 15 | 0.0 | 3.9 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 4.5 | 2.7 | - | - | - | 33.8 | 40.0 | 42.9 | - | 39.1 | 38.2 |
| Reggis Onwukamuche | F | 36 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 4.4 | - | - | - | 45.3 | 0.0 | 46.5 | - | 47.0 | 45.3 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG