🐻⬇️🏀

Biola

Also known as: Biola
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 995 (#280) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 980 (#300) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 989 (#453) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +7.1 (#105) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -1.7 (#390) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.226 (#476) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -2.4 More → 0.419 (#296) NetEff -2.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.1 More → 0.439 (#431) AdjNet -2.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.9 More → 0.445 (#431) AdjNet -1.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.6 | AdjD 60.1 More → 0.487 (#422) AdjO 59.6 | AdjD 60.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.6 | AdjD 60.3 More → 0.506 (#350) AdjO 60.6 | AdjD 60.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.499 (#357) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.502 (#348) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 21 More → 970 (#282) RD 98 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Westminster (UT) W 70 - 53
2025-11-15 vs CSUSB L 60 - 68
2025-11-22 vs Cal Poly Humboldt W 61 - 54
2025-11-25 @ Cal Poly Pomona L 57 - 66
2025-12-04 @ Fresno Pacific W 79 - 73
2025-12-06 @ Jessup W 66 - 65
2025-12-13 @ Westmont L 49 - 68
2025-12-20 vs Alas. Fairbanks W 75 - 49
2026-01-03 vs Vanguard L 52 - 60
2026-01-13 @ Point Loma L 64 - 76
2026-01-15 vs Westmont W 65 - 62
2026-01-20 @ Hawaii Pacific L 53 - 58
2026-01-22 @ Chaminade W 63 - 53
2026-01-24 @ Hawaii Hilo W 77 - 54
2026-01-29 vs Fresno Pacific W 73 - 50
2026-01-31 vs Jessup W 49 - 38
2026-02-02 vs Chaminade W 79 - 39
2026-02-05 vs Hawaii Hilo W 61 - 44
2026-02-07 vs Menlo L 74 - 79

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Laney Grider - 19 31.1 14.6 4.7 3.1 2.0 0.4 2.7 10.8 11.2 167 8.0 25.4 48.1 28.1 77.2 3.88 57.5 52.4
Grace Moyers - 18 26.2 10.0 1.7 1.7 1.1 0.2 1.6 9.5 3.7 52 2.6 9.2 33.3 35.7 93.8 -0.87 50.6 48.2
Hanne Nybo - 19 22.4 8.7 5.7 0.9 1.2 0.2 2.1 6.6 8.0 80 3.8 18.2 51.6 24.0 80.6 1.42 58.2 54.0
Alyssa Kubo - 19 24.6 7.5 2.4 2.2 1.2 0.0 1.7 7.3 4.2 61 2.8 11.3 35.3 29.4 67.6 2.03 46.0 42.4
Jaycee Goldsmith - 19 24.9 6.6 6.7 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.9 5.8 9.7 80 3.6 14.7 42.3 29.2 65.4 0.69 51.0 48.6
Camden Miller - 9 18.7 5.8 5.4 1.2 0.7 0.0 2.8 5.1 5.2 75 7.5 23.7 47.8 8.3 58.3 0.98 50.7 48.9
Aliyah Bantolina - 18 23.3 4.8 2.8 2.6 0.9 0.2 3.3 4.5 3.5 73 3.6 15.1 45.7 11.1 50.0 -0.04 47.5 46.3
Alyssa Goode - 3 4.3 4.3 1.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.7 2.7 2.3 12 4.0 99.7 50.0 42.9 100.0 1.02 73.2 68.8
Kayla Jones - 6 5.8 3.2 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.2 3.8 0.3 35 5.0 76.4 26.1 40.0 50.0 -0.81 39.8 39.1
Danya Dykstra - 19 14.8 3.0 2.7 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.8 3.3 3.4 45 2.1 12.6 31.7 28.6 75.0 0.54 44.0 42.9
Addison Taylor - 13 12.7 2.9 2.7 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.9 2.5 3.3 2 0.1 1.2 51.5 50.0 100.0 -0.81 55.4 53.0
MiaGrace Delahoz - 18 11.1 2.2 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.7 1.8 2.1 16 0.8 5.9 40.6 45.5 60.0 0.04 57.0 56.2
Emily Cruz - 10 10.3 2.1 2.7 1.1 0.1 0.1 1.5 2.2 2.4 14 1.3 10.0 27.3 10.0 53.3 -1.53 36.7 29.5
Lizzy Weber - 6 9.3 1.8 0.3 0.8 1.0 0.0 0.8 1.0 2.2 -13 -1.9 -19.3 66.7 66.7 50.0 -0.93 79.9 83.3

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG