Biola
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1017 (#166) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 964 (#297) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1001 (#279) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +5.6 (#164) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -4.8 (#395) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.618 (#275) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.465 (#254) | NetEff -1.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.701 (#298) | AdjNet +7.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.711 (#296) | AdjNet +7.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.645 (#278) | AdjO 80.1 | AdjD 73.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.431 (#424) | AdjO 69.9 | AdjD 73.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.448 (#358) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.444 (#359) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 977 (#254) | RD 94 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Cal State LA | W | 77 - 66 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Cal St. San Marcos | L | 64 - 67 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Cal St. Dom. Hills | W | 86 - 80 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Stanton | W | 89 - 66 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Cal Poly Pomona | L | 72 - 80 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Fresno Pacific | L | 80 - 85 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Jessup | W | 84 - 81 |
| 2025-12-10 | vs | Point Loma | L | 70 - 74 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Westmont | L | 61 - 72 |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Stanton | W | 95 - 63 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Vanguard | W | 85 - 76 |
| 2026-01-08 | @ | Azusa Pacific | L | 78 - 85 |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | Point Loma | L | 61 - 81 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Westmont | L | 55 - 67 |
| 2026-01-20 | @ | Hawaii Pacific | L | 65 - 78 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Chaminade | W | 98 - 85 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Hawaii Hilo | L | 59 - 68 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Fresno Pacific | L | 62 - 70 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Jessup | W | 74 - 72 |
| 2026-02-02 | vs | Chaminade | W | 82 - 70 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Hawaii Hilo | W | 67 - 65 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Menlo | W | 71 - 60 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Sanders | - | 1 | 28.9 | 20.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 20.0 | 4 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 70.0 | 50.0 | 55.6 | -1.23 | 71.6 | 75.0 |
| Cameron Brown | - | 20 | 35.3 | 16.6 | 5.0 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 14.7 | 9.2 | -20 | -1.0 | -3.1 | 45.1 | 26.5 | 72.8 | 0.58 | 50.5 | 46.6 |
| Tyus Parrish-Tillman | - | 21 | 32.6 | 16.0 | 7.9 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 11.2 | 16.1 | -92 | -4.4 | -16.4 | 47.9 | 35.5 | 72.2 | 2.32 | 58.6 | 53.6 |
| Caleb Oden | - | 1 | 29.7 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | -57 | -3.2 | -13.5 | 83.3 | 80.0 | 40.0 | -0.19 | 97.6 | 116.7 |
| Chris Harris | - | 20 | 34.7 | 14.9 | 7.3 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 11.6 | 13.3 | -227 | -5.2 | -21.9 | 47.6 | 29.7 | 80.0 | -1.37 | 56.9 | 52.4 |
| EJ Bryson | - | 1 | 33.2 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | -4 | -0.2 | -1.2 | 22.2 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 0.85 | 44.8 | 22.2 |
| Charlie Gehler | - | 21 | 31.3 | 11.6 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 8.0 | 8.0 | -69 | -3.3 | -12.3 | 49.1 | 45.3 | 75.0 | 2.18 | 66.7 | 65.0 |
| Shad Thomas | - | 1 | 25.4 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 20 | 1.1 | 5.1 | 71.4 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 1.03 | 69.8 | 78.6 |
| Tobias Aisien | - | 1 | 25.9 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | -23 | -1.3 | -5.9 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.09 | 85.0 | 80.0 |
| Kaleb Taylor | - | 1 | 22.9 | 9.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 57.1 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.76 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Walker Weir | - | 18 | 20.0 | 6.7 | 3.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 6.2 | 4.7 | -72 | -4.0 | -56.6 | 43.8 | 19.4 | 64.0 | -0.91 | 48.8 | 46.4 |
| Facundo Aranda | - | 20 | 17.6 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 3.3 | 3.8 | -37 | -1.9 | -9.8 | 42.4 | 31.2 | 90.0 | 0.12 | 53.3 | 50.0 |
| Joe Ofori | - | 5 | 9.2 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 2.4 | -20 | -4.0 | -34.1 | 63.6 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -1.38 | 64.9 | 63.6 |
| Garrison Sherman | - | 16 | 11.0 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 2.5 | -2 | -0.1 | -1.7 | 38.9 | 22.2 | 42.9 | -0.91 | 44.8 | 44.4 |
| Gannon Dykstra | - | 20 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 1.3 | -24 | -1.2 | -12.4 | 40.0 | 34.6 | 66.7 | -1.43 | 54.5 | 52.9 |
| Logan Stewart | - | 2 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Ay-Keen Richardson | - | 9 | 9.8 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 2.1 | -3 | -0.4 | -3.5 | 35.3 | 50.0 | 42.9 | 0.1 | 44.8 | 44.1 |
| Scott McDowell | - | 6 | 6.8 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 11 | 1.8 | 310.6 | 22.2 | 0.0 | 83.3 | -0.35 | 38.7 | 22.2 |
| Mikah Tolpezninkas | - | 2 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jalen Atkins | - | 5 | 8.7 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 20.0 | 50.0 | - | 38.1 | 35.7 |
| Cole Bekkering | - | 9 | 8.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 18 | 1.8 | 1542.9 | 36.4 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 39.2 | 36.4 |
| Leyton Martin | - | 15 | 11.9 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 2.7 | -10 | -0.6 | -4.1 | 30.8 | 12.5 | 25.0 | -0.75 | 33.9 | 34.6 |
| Parker Christensen | - | 1 | 7.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -90 | -4.7 | -24.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| DM Sanders | - | 1 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.23 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG